RE:450 days CR can increase as high as 47%
Nice spreadsheet RH! Very slick.
I would argue that using 80% CR rate for the 5 pending at 90 days may be a bit on the more optimistic side. I would use 65% but that is just me errring on the conservative side.
When I did a similar spreadsheet I got the same kind of predictions overall so lines up nicely.
Now if we knew something about the malignancy type, number of tumours on the wall of the bladder, etc, we might know more about the probability of certain outcomes in a more granular way.
That would be nice.
DJ