AGM PresentationAll the items voted upon were passed - some closer than others.
There were no numerical updates beyond those provided in Q1, or the Viking update NR.
They were questioned about their forecast, given that it is based on $80 WTI. The response was that while the price of oil is currently lower, the heavy oil discount and US/Can exchange rate have both moved positively, so in total their earlier year forecast is not far off
My take away was that they are not concerned by the current oil price, and will continue as previously announced. I took this to mean their share buy back will continue at full speed, and not be reduced because of the current oil price.
They would not give details about when they expect the share buy back to be finished - which makes sense, given that if the share price were to jump to $30 for example, they'd probably stop buying.
As long as the share price remains low, they will likely keep buying. The CEO previously refered to trading below PDP to be low. It follows that as long as the share price is sub PDP, they'll keep buying.
They included a helpful chart which gave PDP (discounted at 10%) for WTI at $70 (C$10.78), $80 (C$13.71) and $90 (C$16.43)
These numbers reveal just how under valued OBE presently is - and why a share buy back is such a good idea.
For example, the above PDP numbers are after debt has been subtracted, and the remainder divided by the shares outstanding.
After the buy-back is complete (assuming debt is unchanged), that C$10.78 becomes about $12.50
This essentially means that OBE is giving 100% of its free cash flow back to shareholders by way of a share buyback. (they are actually giving more than 100% back, if debt increases during this period).
OBE, like pretty well any other oil company is for investors who think the price of oil is going to increase
PDP per share is a very cheap number to use for valuation.