RE:How to Play the Market in the Current Environment? You're right on point Experienced.
Let me add a few more points:
- S&P 500 earnings have actually declined y/y
- the new bull market never begins with an inverted yield curve
- the bond market is pricing in a recession, contrary to the views of the stock market
- you can get a 5.33% yield on a 1 year t-bill compared to a ~ 4% yield on the S&P 500. In other words, you're getting a better yield on t-bills without taking on any risk! Let that sink in for a bit.