RE:moemoney:management using $75 dollars for 5 year outlook Drunk@noon, thank you, you made me think. Why? Why, is management low-balling so much. As they are dealing with the future, a little safety margin can be understood, but so much.
I went back over the last 2-3 years. Guess what is missing: Hedging Strategy.
In prior presentations (for a long time) management had a Hedging Strategy chart (or paragraph). Not even discussed now. I wonder: did they screw up the Hedging Strategy and are trying to cover it up, leaving a lot of flex to cover poor results? If so, they may easily need a $5/barrel cushion.
I have no proof that this is the case, but I am very suspicious, because this projection smells.