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Suncor Energy Inc T.SU

Alternate Symbol(s):  SU

Suncor Energy Inc. is a Canada-based integrated energy company. The Company's segments include Oil Sands, Exploration and Production (E&P), and Refining and Marketing. Its operations include oil sands development, production and upgrading; offshore oil production; petroleum refining in Canada and the United States; and the Company’s Petro-Canada retail and wholesale distribution networks (including Canada’s Electric Highway, a coast-to-coast network of fast-charging electric vehicle (EV) stations). The Company is developing petroleum resources while advancing the transition to a lower-emissions future through investments in lower-emissions intensity power, renewable feedstock fuels and projects targeting emissions intensity. The Company also conducts energy trading activities focused primarily on the marketing and trading of crude oil, natural gas, byproducts, refined products and power. It also wholly owns the Fort Hills Project, which is located in Alberta's Athabasca region.


TSX:SU - Post by User

Post by MigraineCallon Oct 12, 2023 11:22am
237 Views
Post# 35680589

EIA Crude +10, Gasoline -1.3 Dist -1.8m

EIA Crude +10, Gasoline -1.3 Dist -1.8mLarge crude build.
US Crude exports plummet 1.9mm bpd.
Implied oil demand up.
Gasoline demand up.
Crude production inflated by rebalancing.

Neutral report.



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WTI just under $85, up $1.40+ just prior to release. Oil UP 10.2 mm barrels (vs -0.2 exp and echoing API) – SPR – unchanged – Throughput – down 0.4 mm bopd week to week – Imports – up 0.1 mm bopd w-t-w – Exports – down 1.9 mm bopd w-t-w

US implied oil demand (product supplied) rose by 509kbpd w/w to 19.666mbpd last week w/w changes in kbpd gasoline +567 jet fuel -216 distillate -145 residual fuel oil -102 propane/propylene -127 other oils +542

EIA data, week ending 10/6 - Crude oil: +10.2M Domestic prod: 13.2MMbpd SPR: NC Cushing: -0.3M Gasoline: -1.3M Impld mogas demand: 8.58Mbpd Distillates: -1.8M Refiner utilz: 85.7% Total exports: 10.1MMbpd

EIA reporting a 10m bbl #crudeoil build driven by a 2mbd decline in exports to 3mbd. Production up 0.3mbd to a record 13.2mbd. Implied #gasoline demand (4wk avg) showed a small recovery but remains very weak on a seasonal basis. Refinery utilization slumped to a January low at 85.7%

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US crude imports by origin incl w/w changes in kbpd Canada +353 to 3544 Mexico +132 to 656 Saudi Arabia -224 to 67 Colombia +146 to 289 Iraq -59 to 247 Ecuador -125 to 0 Nigeria +46 to 46 Brazil +153 to 362 Libya -1 to 88

Implied gasoline demand right at (my own) expectation-8.6mbpd- a modest recovery shows that stations are ramping up purchasing, but still holding back a bit. Once there's a clear bottom to RBOB, I'd expect it to show a bit stronger.

Crude +10.176MM, Exp. -1.4MM Gasoline -1.313MM Distillates -1.837MM Cushing -319K Production 13.2MMb/d, +300kbpd


"This week’s domestic crude oil production estimate incorporates a re-benchmarking that increased estimated volumes by 370,000 barrels per day, which is about 2.8% of this week’s estimated production total." EIA drilling on paper. Reported US Crude Production vs Rig counts:

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