Back of the Envelope calcs:I see about USD 34 - 70M per year of revenue (money in, before any costs are subtracted) when LIO is in the 500 tpd production zone. (calcs below...). I think it'd be closer to $70M, and
possibly more.
Is anyone confident enough to model a share price when LIO is processing 500 tpd? If I were competent to model a share price I'd also include costs for:
- high ongoing capex(?) for advancing UG works. and for expansion over several years to a capacity beyond 500 tpd.
- cost (opex? capex? ...IDK) for infill and grade control drilling.
- cost for surface exploration and scout drilling elsewhere in the caldera.
I cal'd USD 34-70M annual '500 tpd' revenue as follows:
- 6 days/week operation + 13 days holiday/downtime:
- Assume 2024 production at: recovered yield of 4 grams/tonne, x 460 tonne/day pouring, x 300 day/year operation, x 1/29 ounces/gram conversion factor, x $1800/oz = $34.3 Million/yr.
- More aggressive modeling: recovered yield of 7 grams/tonne, x 480 tonne/day pouring, x 300 day/year operation, x 1/29 ounces/gram conversion factor, x $2000/oz = $69.5 46Million/yr.
Got some ideas? Let's hear 'em!