TMX and Summer Driving Season Now there is a great combination.
1. TMX Line Fill reduces oil inventory in Canada by 10% or even 15% immediately.
2. It will take a few months for the oil businesses in Canada to gear up to meet the 590k bpd expansion.
3. Inventory of WCS and other grades will fall drastically.
4. 12 dollar WCS means at least 10% in revenue increase.
5. With ATH Leismer expansion and 5 dollar per barrel cost reduction it will be like a triple whammy.
A. Margin increase from cost reduction
B. Sales increase from WCS DIFF
C. Increase in production to 36k to 38k bpd in 2024
Upside good on ATH and others
Happy Friday