RE:UpdateNice analysis Obscure
One caveat to your scenario is that investors continue to be willing to pay a premium to NAV at current levels. If that sentiment were to change then the price of ENS would drop. As a general rule most splits due trade at a premium to NAV but that premium fluctuates. Not that long ago the premium to NAV for ENS was around 5% if I recall correctly. A reversion to these levels would result in a significant drop in the SP....something to keep an eye on.