GREY:VITFF - Post by User
Comment by
MVargason Feb 24, 2024 3:50pm
128 Views
Post# 35897382
RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:Artemis Phase 2 NPV released, can VGCX do the same.
RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:Artemis Phase 2 NPV released, can VGCX do the same.If HB77 is not being paid by Victoria then he should be! LOL!
On the flip side:
Of the 166,670 ozs produced in 2023, 16,000 came from Inventory.
Interest payments in 2023 were 2 times debt repayment. Total debt declined from $247 million at year-end 2022 to $235 million at year-end 2023. Scheduled debt patments in 2024 = $46 million and $172 million in 2025. Conference call stated goal for 2024 is to pay off the $33 million remaining on the term facility and any surplus would go to the revolver.
Liquidity: $15 million cash and $5 million available in the revolver. If gold prices had averaged less than $1850 in 2023, then additional debt or an equity raise would have been required to make the term facility debt payments. $18 million was raised through the exercise of warrants and options. The company is extremely vulnerable to an unexpected major expense from equipment failure, environmental disaster, drop in the POG, etc.
The company's 2024 production forecast is 5,000 ounces higher than last year, but $100/oz higher AISC costs to $1550. However Q4 AISC was $1592. GDX average AISC is just over $1300. The April 2023 Technical Report is based on an AISC of $1114.
2023 was touted by management as a turnaround year, but considering the 16,000 oz taken from inventory they actually produced only about 150,000 oz from 2023 operations and over 8,000 oz are paid to Osisko. EPS decilined to $0.38/share from $0.54 in 2022. Mine life per the Technical Report declines to 9 year with production peak in 2025. And no, extending the mine life by going deeper is not a viable option as the cost of pushing back the pit walls is prohibitive.
One can only conclude that the delays on issuing an update on Raven can only mean that it is not looking as rosy as previously speculated. But just as damaging is the continued stringing along of the company's shareholders.
OK, just wanted to provide some balance to the hype. Back to lurking and no additional plans to make further posts.