TSX:BEI.UN - Post by User
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retiredcfon Jul 31, 2024 8:48am
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TD
TDCurrently have a $90 target. GLTA
Q2/24 FIRST LOOK; RESULTS IN-LINE; 2024 GUIDANCE RAISED AGAIN
THE TD COWEN INSIGHT
Boardwalk delivered a solid quarter highlighted by +14.2% SPNOI growth and another increase to 2024 guidance. Fundamentals across the portfolio remain very strong (see our note from Boardwalk's recent Calgary investor day here) and continue to benefit from favourable demand/supply dynamics, particularly in the REIT's Alberta markets.
Impact: NEUTRAL
Q2/24 Results: FFO/unit (f.d.) of $1.04 was +17% y/y, and in line with consensus (TDS: $1.02). Higher NOI/lower interest expense was slightly offset by higher G&A. AFFO/unit (our calculation) of $0.85 was also slightly ahead of our estimate.
2024 Guidance Updated. Management raised its 2024 guidance for the second consecutive quarter, calling for $4.11 to $4.23 FFO/unit (from $4.00 to $4.20 in Q1; +2% at the mid- point), and +12.5% to +14.5% (from +11.0% to +14.0%). Current consensus of $4.16 is in-line with the midpoint of management's updated guidance.
Operating Highlights
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Q2 SPNOIG of +14.2% accelerated slightly from Q1's pace (+13.5%). Gains were driven by +9.5% revenue growth, while SP expenses were up only 1.6%. By market, Saskatchewan led with +19.0%, followed by Alberta at +16.9% (Edmonton: +16.4%; Calgary: +17.4%), and Quebec at +6.9%. SP operating margin was +270bps y/y to 65.2%.
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Average renewals in Q2/24 at +8.8% remain at the top end of management's 7-9% target range. Portfolio new lease spreads averaged 13.2% in Q2, also representing the upper end of management's targeted 10%-15% range for new lease uplifts in non-price controlled markets which management expects will lower turnover and lengthen the runway for growth.
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Average incentives continue to trend lower to $90, down 17% y/y and 6% q/q. Average market rents increased +1.1% q/q to $1,637, demonstrating continued strength in Boardwalk's markets. Occupied rents were +3.0% q/q and +10.1% y/y to $1,460. Current mark-to-market rents (including. incentives) were $155 (Q1: $175).
Balance Sheet/Other
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Recorded a $362mm FV gain owing to higher market rents (cap rate unchanged q/q at 5.09%). IFRS NAV was +2.2% q/q to $92.39. D/GBV was -110bps q/q to 39.1%. Liquidity decreased slightly to ~$315.8mm (Q1/24: ~$378.6mm).
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On July 5, Boardwalk announced ~$120mm in Calgary acquisitions (link), including the forward purchase of Elbow 5 Eight for $93mm ($365k/suite), and Dawson Landing for $26.3mm ($417k/suite). Both acquisitions were/will be funded with remaining proceeds Boardwalk's Q4/23 equity issuance (link).
Conference call 1:00 PM ET; dial-in: (1-888-664-6383; passcode: 12521459