RE:cibc flash research: target C$28Results couldn't be a lot worse. Rising expenses, shrinking loans and deposit along with no evidence of a trun around from the NEW CEO and Execs. About par for the course with this Bank over the past 40 years, but worse over the past 10 years. They seem to be trying to shrink their way to greatness.
I sure feel sorry for anyone who is holding onto this stocklong term. Outside of short term trading on the buck or two swings, not much upside.
perplexed01 wrote: FQ3 First Look: Nothing To Show A Turnaround
Our take: Neutral. LB reported a modest EPS beat, mostly on the release of performing credit allowances. PTPP of $68MM was effectively in line with the consensus estimate of $69MM.
Overview of results: Adjusted EPS came in at .88 versus consensus of .86 and our estimate of .84. Adjusted ROE was 6.2%, unchanged from last quarter. Book value per share was $56.97, increasing only 0.3% sequentially due to impairment and severance charges.
Sources of variance: Positive sources of variance relative to our estimate include higher capital markets related revenue (CMRR) (+.14/sh) and lower PCLs (+.05/sh). This was partially offset by higher operating expenses (-.10/sh) and lower lending NII (-.04/sh).
Total PCLs helped by performing release: Total PCLs were $16.3MM (18bps), better than our estimate of $19.0MM (21bps) and lower than FQ2 at $17.9MM (20bps). Performing provisions were negative $11.8MM (release) and impaired provisions were essentially flat sequentially at $28.1MM.
NII lower on lower AEA: Lending NII came in at $181MM, up <1% sequentially and ~1% below our forecast. NIM was flat Q/Q and AEA declined ~1% in total.
Loans decline across all categories: Total gross loans and acceptances declined 3.3% Q/Q. Commercial loans declined 3.9%, personal loans declined 5.3% and residential mortgages declined 2.4%.
Operating leverage remains negative: Total expenses of $188MM increased 5% Y/Y. Adjusted operating leverage came in at negative 7%. The bank reported another restructuring charge in the quarter, as expected. Charges totalled $9MM versus $7MM expected and down from $156MM last quarter.
Deposits decline: Total deposits declined 5.2% Q/Q, worse than -1.9% in FQ2. Demand deposits declined 3.8% versus a 5.7% decline in FQ2. Term deposits declined 5.7% Q/Q, versus flat in FQ2.
CET1 ratio: Reported CET1 was 10.9%, up from 10.4% last quarter.