RE:Trevor Rose's Insights - Don't Buy- I STRONGLY DISAGREE with this guy
- ASTL is NOT FAIRLY LEVERED
* the 2029 9.125 % Senior Secured Second-Lien USD 350 million Notes were USED to have a CASH CUSHION (ALMOST $ 500 million at June 30, 2024} in CASE of DECLINING HRC prices and COST OVERRUNS in the EAF BUILDOUT
- when the TWO (2) EAFs come ONLINE FULLY in 2025/2026, Algoma Steel will have 1000+ WORKERS (about 1/3 of the WORKFORCE} LESS EMPLOYED in the STEEL PRODUCTION
* this will DRAMATICALLY INCREASE OPERATING MARGINS
- there is a STRONG PROBABILITY that ASTL will be ACQUIRED as SOON as the EAF CONSTRUCTION is COMPLETED and OPERATING SMOOTHLY and HRC prices are in a POSITIVE DIRECTION
z173