Lithium updated!!!!!!! However, other lithium bulls are hanging on. BMI, a Fitch Solutions research unit, has predicted a lithium shortage could hit as early as 2025 largely due to China's lithium demand exceeding supply.
"We expect an average of 20.4% year-on-year annual growth for China's lithium demand for EVs alone over 2023-2032," the report stated. In contrast, BMI sees China's lithium supply growing at a much slower 6% annual clip over the same period, pointing out that that rate is not enough to meet even one-third of forecast demand.
BMI is not the only lithium bull here. "We do fundamentally believe in a shortage for the lithium industry. We forecast supply growth of course, but demand is set to grow at a much faster pace," Corinne Blanchard, Deutsche Bank's director of lithium and clean tech equity research, has told CNBC. Blanchard sees a "modest deficit" of around 40,000 to 60,000 tonnes of lithium carbonate equivalent by the end of 2025, but has forecast a much wider deficit to the tune of 768,000 tonnes by the end of 2030.
By Alex Kimani for Oilprice.com