RE:RE:RE:RE:The Hidden Gem: Scarborough JunctionDJ441c wrote: by the way have you looked at the parent DRM currently about $29 and NAV about $34 similarly lots of developemend associated debt and ownership of d.un which has appreciated in the market since June 30 any thoughts appreciated thanks
MPCT Q2 2023 Adjusted NAV $31.70, NAV $27 (Currently NAV ~$24), Today's Unit Price ~$4.30
DRM Q2 2023 Adjusted NAV $57.84, NAV $30.75 (Currently closer to $34 I believe), Today's Unit Price ~$30.00
I owned DRM around $18, and sold this year as it went up. DRM is close to its NAV, but not its adjusted NAV.
MPCT is no where near either its NAV or Adjusted NAV leaving a lot of upside potential. If MPCT triples, it will not will materially cause an increase of DRM's unit price, as it's still a very small part of DRM's market cap. In such, to gain and material upside of MPCT units, one could not buy DRM to capture that upside.
A large part of DRM is asset management. Buyers of DRM likely purchased more for the Asset Management than the actual land and developments. Also, the market cap of DRM is much larger, allowing institutions to buy DRM, where they could not buy MPCT due to its sub 100M market cap right now. MPCT will likely have a 15% distribution yield on cost over time by purchasing today in the $4's, and a total forward annual return (Yield plus Retained AFFO & NAV adjustment increase) possibly in the 40%-50% range annually on today's purchase price.
I like DRM, as shown by my recent ownership. However, I believe there is a 300%+ upside potential for MPCT (Bringing MPCT to ~50% discounts to NAV) over time, while DRM has a ~20% upside potential (Bringing units above NAV), and could retract back to mid to low $20's due to liquidity (Institution selling). Although I believe institutions won't sell unless there is a large liquidity event. Having said that, it would not surprise me to see DRM move up into the $40's, but I believe institutions would need to be the driver of that but there are a lot of options in the asset management sector that have potential to offer better risk adjusted returns they could seek first.
Both MPCT and DRM have trading liquidity issues for those wanting to buy or sell. Both will need to have a long term mindset (do not trade as the daily volume doesn't support it), and are different investments overall and should not be seen as the same. Although DRM holds a lot of MPCT's assets it is not an material part of DRM (Under $2/share NAV for DRM).
MPCT Research Below:
Scarborough Junction, The Hidden Gem
https://stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard?symbol=t.mpct.db&postid=36281186
MPCT 2026 Forecast with Slide Presentation Images
https://stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard?symbol=t.mpct.db&postid=36266982
Huge Increase to NOI over the next 12 months. Details:
https://stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard?symbol=t.mpct.db&postid=36263654
Our Developments, with Pictures
https://stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard?symbol=t.mpct.un&postid=36235736
Q3 2024 Commentary (Not Official)
https://stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard?symbol=t.mpct.db&postid=36279263
2025 MPCT-UN Catalysts & Path To No Land Loans
https://stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard?symbol=t.mpct.db&postid=36245063
Insider Purchase Bhalla, Amar, ($50,000) Units on September 26
https://stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard?symbol=t.mpct.db&postid=36253768
Links to MPCT Property Development Photos
https://stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard?symbol=t.mpct.db&postid=36224127
Government is doing everything in MPCTs Favor.
https://stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard?symbol=t.mpct.db&postid=36226580
I will add to this, No GST on new apartment builds, as well as CMHC loans are non-recourse. Dream is one of very few on CMHCs fast approval regular developer program.