RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:$300M LTD repaymentBBDB859 wrote: Hey Lets, YMMV.
Just FYI. I now know, that you have Arithmomania. I deduced that by reading all your post responses to my numbers, and even some of your responses to other posters posts.
I don't mean it as an insult btw. I find it useless to be precise. Like I said in one of my posts the other day. If I'm close of within $50M with my guess? Then I think it's a pretty good guess.
Tomayto Tomahto.
Letsmakemoredol wrote: BBDB859 wrote: They'll make close $1B for Q4. $700M of that, will go repay their up-fronting of their inventory for the all of 2024. And $300m will be their +FCF. Which I presume they put all of it, or $200M of it, on the LTD in spring of 2025.
Letsmakemoredol wrote: very possible, but it also could be coming in from Q4 FCF. To meet 2024 guidance they have to deliver +682M to +982M this quarter. They did +$869M in Q4/23 so easily doable
Well they only used 582M in the first 9 months of this year and considering 2025 deliveries will be roughly equal to 2024 (could be negligibly smaller) it won't be 700M as you state
Fcf for 2025 is supposed to be 900 to 1000M compared to 100-400M for 2024 so I'm also expecting each quarter to be better next year than this year.
859, it's a discussion board so guess what things get discussed. Financial predictions are an educated guess yes but precision matters...unless you want to be part of the $500 PT club using chatGPT for your analysis? Analysts use precision in their calculations.
...and calling me arithmomania I took as an insult. Like your insulting comment to francophones last week please keep those comments to yourself. Thank you