Canaccord $14 targetQ4 production levels expected to be ~3% above prior guidance Monday morning, WCP provided an operational update with Q4/24 production levels now forecast to exceed previous guidance by ~3%. The company is forecasting Q4/24 volumes to average 175,500 boe/d, ahead of previous guidance at 170,000 boe/d and our prior estimates at 169,874 boe/d. This will result in average 2024 production of 174,000 boe/d, which is ~5% higher than the initial 2024 guidance set out in October 2023. This increase in production levels comes through a combination of new wells beating type curves, optimizations to base production levels, timing of production adds, and lower-than-anticipated downtime. In our view, this strong operational performance from WCP provides greater confidence to the company being able to execute on its plans to develop and grow production from both its Duvernay and Montney assets through the balance of the decade. We reiterate our BUY rating and $14.00 target on WCP, which maps to a 2025E EV/DACF multiple of 5.2x. WCP currently trades at 3.6x 2025E EV/DACF, compared to the peer group average of 3.5x. Highlights from the release: Operational update. Q4/24 production is now guided to ~175,500 boe/d (65% liquids), ~3% above previous guidance of 170,000 boe/d (and our prior estimate of 169,874 boe/d). As a result, 2024 production is expected to average 174,000 boe/d (up from previous guidance of 172,500 boe/d and our prior forecast of 172,532 boe/ d). Note that this is also ~5% above the company's initial 2024 guidance set out in October 2023. The increase in guidance is a result of new wells exceeding type curve expectations, base production optimizations, timing of production adds, and lower-than forecasted downtime. The company also provided details of ongoing operations across its asset base. The Duvernay development at Kaybob continues to exceed WCP's expectations with Q4/24 production above its estimate by 1,000 boe/d. This is primarily due to the recent Duvernay five-well pad (5.0 net) 11-14B pad outperforming and is notably testing vertical benching within the Duvernay formation. At the Musreau, its 5-9 battery, WCP is currently producing 17,500 boe/d and condensate production is being maintained at facility capacity of ~11,000 bbl/d. With tying in its recent fourth four well pad, production capability is now ~25,000 boe/d and WCP is currently evaluating slowing development pace or facility expansion in the coming months. At Lator, design and engineering work on Phase 1 of the new 4-13 facility is progressing and two 2023 wells have now reached IP-365 of ~1,300 boe/d (~33% condensate). WCP also recently brought online its second of two 2024 delineation wells with the early-time results, condensate-to-gas ratios and inflow, matching initial company expectations. With the field being facility constrained, technical delineation efforts will continue until late 2026 to early 2027 when the 4-13 facility is expected to come online. The Central Alberta Glauconite assets contributed ~1,400 boe/d in Q4/24 with outperformance driven by higher production rates and increased third-party facility throughput. In Eastern SK, the Frobisher assets contributed ~700 boe/d to Q4/24 production outperformance due to strong tier one inventory performance and plans to expand inventory further with step out Frobisher drilling at Steelman and its initial State A OHML pilot well. Estimate changes. Our estimate changes are summarized in Figure 1. Valuation and recommendation. We reiterate our BUY rating and price target of $14.00, which maps to a 2025E EV/DACF of 5.2x. This compares to the 3.6x multiple WCP currently trades at and the group average of 3.5x