GREY:ROAOF - Post by User
Comment by
KeithR39on Oct 02, 2005 11:23pm
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Post# 9646640
Oilexco shr value vs replaced depleted reserves
Oilexco shr value vs replaced depleted reservesgood40, very good points in your last comments. I like this one:
"Haywood is giving moderate risk for cashflow of $320mm
for roughly 4 years using 168mm shares. Brenda would be uneconomical after that point. Their mandate is to replace these depleted
reserves"
From the Springheel report:
"Oct/05 drill Muness 21/4b, Kerr McGee, Oilexco 50%, potentially 20-53MM barrels"
Oilexco: 10 - 26MM barrels
"Next, Palomino 21/6a, pay 84.21% to earn 50%, $5MM pounds to drill, 40-60MM barrels possible 100MM barrels"
Oilexco: 20 - 30MM barrels
"Dec/05 Tay, Sterling farmin, cherry picked this one from Sterling’s basket of plays, similar to Brenda, 20-70MM barrels" note: Oilexco interest 65% from Schachter report.
Oilexco: 13 - 45MM barrels
And dont forget the upside from the coming production Hz drilling on Brenda.
TOTAL OILEXCO:
Brenda: 30 - 50MM barrels
Others: 43 - 101MM barrels
TOTAL: 73 - 151MM barrels
at $60usd/barrel, we get at least $2cad/shr for every 10MM barrel. So, the reserves figure leads to about...
$14 - $30 / shr.