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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Aphria Inc. APHA

Aphria, which is headquartered in Ontario, produces and sells medicinal and recreational cannabis. The company operates through retail and wholesale channels in Canada and internationally. Aphria is a main distributor of medical cannabis to Germany and has operations in over 10 countries outside of Canada. However, it does not have exposure to the U.S. CBD or THC markets due to the constraints... see more

NDAQ:APHA - Post Discussion

Aphria Inc. > N00bCharts Analysis
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Post by N00bInvesT0R on Aug 29, 2020 12:21pm

N00bCharts Analysis

Hope everyone is doing good :)

Will only talk about the ticker that trades on the Nasdaq, higher volume gives a better picture.

On my last post I talked about the Canadian MJ that took a big hit due to negative reaction to earnings (CRON, APHA, WEED/CGC)  and said that they need to put a line of the sand and get a significant bounce going on.

My criterias were ideally a 10% or I said to at least bounce at 5.09$ USD  with increasing volume.

If you take the low of monday August 24th  (4.39$ USD) and compare it to the high of friday August 28th (4.84$) you can see that it represents 10% and that the volume on friday increased significantly. Volume on friday was almost 3 times  the average of volume we had between Monday and Thursday.

That's something to be happy about because if consolidation starts on Monday, we still have a 6% wiggle room to set a higher low compared to August 24th low 4.39 $ USD

The only thing I don't like is the candle shape, a shooting star which means profit taking like you can see on the daily time frame there's a big upper wick on the candle.

This is why we have to zoom in and take a look at the hourly Time Frame and see that anything  above 4.52$ USD is a hourly higher low which is something bulls want to have.

The last hourly candle of the day was heading in the green direction so it would be nice if 4.67$ is the hourly higher low compared to 4.52$ USD if we see continuation on monday morning (can't see in the future)


Key Supports

4.52 $ USD to keep the hourly uptrend alive and signal that the bulls are looking for more than a 10% bounce.

If we can't set a hourly higher low compared to 4.52$ USD means daily consolidation started

and 4.39$ USD is the next key support

Key Resistances

If we keep the Hourly Uptrend alive like I explained earlier and manage to also make a hourly higher high compared to Friday high of the day  4.84$ USD the 2 next resistances are

4.92$ USD

4.97$ USD

I personally like using the 26 Exponential moving average on the daily timeframe as a guide, and I like that we closed above it.

Again, the key will be the same, increasing bull volume is what I want to see or at least same volume as friday on Monday if the bullish scenario happens.

If you are on the sidelines and wanted to enter, just be patient and enter once the stock consolidates on the Daily Timeframe and sets it's higher low compared to 4.39$ USD.

If you made it all the way down here (reading my post) but didn't understand too much,

I recommend you this video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rlZRtQkfK04

Good introduction to Technical Analysis and I'm not as good as him so I will end the post with

Never trust or take for granted information you read on a forum, always make your due diligence and make your decisions  based on your knowledge.

This post is just for educational purposes, not a crystal ball.

Have a nice week-end, we may have a good chart growing ;)

Comment by StockDoc60 on Aug 29, 2020 12:52pm
Chris and Ben Mastronardi Sold 496,000 shares each @6.04 cad  on Friday !  This action might put some brakes on any momentum that might be building ! Thoughts anyone ?.
Comment by ArimaForecast on Aug 29, 2020 1:22pm
Exercise of rights August 21, meanwhile, Fmr Llc bought 880K shares and MJ - ETF bought 250K shares.
Comment by gottahunch on Aug 29, 2020 2:19pm
They are not the c-suite. When I see Irwin and Carl dump a ton of shares, then I'll get worried. They vegetable grow ventures expanding, the money could be being used towards that: https://www.producegrower.com/article/mastronardi-produce-double-diamond-farms-supply/ And it sounds like they are business partners not salaried employees: https://aphriainc.com/aphria-secures-additional-120000 ...more  
Comment by Sneekyboots on Aug 29, 2020 11:48pm
Hello Gottaclown 
Comment by Thorbr55 on Aug 30, 2020 7:25am
Unless there was a a specific clause in the their agreements with Aphria that the sale needed to be exercised now, I would be at least a bit concerned. I don't think the Mastronardis are hurting for money, so why do this now? The price per share is only going up right? 
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