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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Alta Copper Corp ATCUF


Primary Symbol: T.ATCU

Alta Copper Corp. is a Canada-based copper developer, which is engaged in the acquisition, exploration and development of mineral rights interests. The Company is focused on the development of its 100% owned Canariaco advanced staged copper project. The Canariaco Copper Project is an advanced stage porphyry copper exploration and development project located in Northern Peru. Canariaco comprises... see more

TSX:ATCU - Post Discussion

Alta Copper Corp > Valuation of a copper explorer
View:
Post by nizza on Nov 13, 2024 12:52pm

Valuation of a copper explorer

From history


In mid-2014, Hudbay Min. took over Augusta Res.

The valuation of p Cu at the time of this takeover was USD 0.12 (proven and probable)

The copper price per ton at the time was between

USD 6,444 (March 2014) and USD 7,170 (mid-2014)
 
USD 0.12 per p Cu was special in my view; many other takeovers that came before this had

valuations of USD 0.03 to 0.08 per p Cu.
 
We currently have a copper price per ton of USD 9,142
 
Now many market participants assume that the copper price will continue to rise. Figures of USD

10,000 per p Cu in 2025
and up to USD 15,000 in the following years are mentioned.
 
Let us assume USD 10,000 per tonne of Cu in 2026/2027 and assume that Alta will achieve a 25 to

50% increase in resources with its drilling and thus have 13 to 16 billion p Cu proven and probable.
 
Against this background, higher prices per p Cu could be called for for takeovers compared to then:
 
2008 - 2014

0.03 - 0.08 p Cu (at an average of USD 7,000 per ton
 
in relation to the expected USD 10,000 per ton Cu could then mean:
 
2026 / 2027

0.043 - 0.114 USD per p Cu as a possible basis for valuation
 
An increase in the resource by 25-50 % would therefore be met with a demand-related increase in

the price of copper.
 
Everyone can deduce the possible result.
 
Alta already has a world-class copper deposit and can also expand it significantly.
 
And all this against the backdrop of rising copper prices.

By the way: Giulio's talk in Zurich was very strong in my opinion. I have the impression that he

knows what he is doing.


https://www.gowebcasting.com/events/precious-metals-summit-conferences-llc/2024/11/11/alta-copper-corp/play/stream/39439
 
Comment by Buffet11 on Nov 13, 2024 7:08pm
Looks like a non-brainer looking at it with those numbers, but I guess one would also have to consider that the cost of mining (even in Peru) went up tremendously. At the moment is seems that at a price below $10.000 / ton no copper procducer isn't even feasable.  Here an interview with Friedland on this subject. Friedland warns of copper ‘crisis’ as mine costs soar - MINING.COM At ...more  
Comment by ForesstGump on Nov 13, 2024 9:35pm
One step at a time. You won't get anywhere without an agreement with the community that they have been trying to get for over a decade. 
Comment by horsewithnoname on Nov 14, 2024 2:23am
@Froesst - interesting your are bashing the stock now - not sure why. I have said many times that this is a process and in this process we have advanced the most since the last 12 years. We have new permits at the governmental level for a large drill programm covering CN, CS and QV which we never had before, we have a domestic political climate that is significantly different to 2012, we have a ...more  
Comment by ForesstGump on Nov 14, 2024 6:08am
I never bashed and sorry if it seems that way. I am just frustrated as per the community agreement.
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