Post by
oilobserver on Oct 27, 2017 1:44pm
Drilling costs
Lots of speculation about how much wells costs in this play. If we look at the financial statements over the period of drilling/completing (Q416-q217), the company spent ~$14 mm to drill three wells and complete one. In plays like this, drilling and completing each cost about the same (drilling costs have come down over the last few years, but completing costs have not as much), so 4 operations cost about $3.5 mm each. So to drill and complete one well is likely around $7 mm. The last two completions were larger and likely cost a bit more. It's possible they spend a little capital on other projects, but I have not seen any discussion by the company on that (maybe someone can let me know if there are other projects...)
At 1800 boed and using the company's operating netback of $25.81 from Q1/17 (when oil prices were around what they are today), operating cash flow per year is ~$17 mm. G&A is around $4 mm and interest is around $2 mm. So cash flow available to invest is around $11 mm.
Appears the company can afford to drill around 1.5 wells per year, unless they bring in additional capital. Debt to cash flow is around 2x, which is a little high for such a small company and may limit how much further debt they can draw upon.
Comment by
himmler on Oct 28, 2017 12:43pm
You sound exactly the same as Auborn ..and you just joined stockhouse a week ago..I guess we will call you Auborn3 lol. How many accounts do you have auborn??
Comment by
auburn2 on Oct 28, 2017 1:57pm
Where do you see BKX reporting drilling costs as being on budget or under budget? The CFO told me they're going over budget due to demand for services outstripping supply. If they were meeting or going under budget, wouldn't they proudly report that?
Comment by
auburn2 on Oct 28, 2017 2:00pm
Correction: there's no "budget" per se, there's that $5.7mm in the presentation that generates the paper scenarios. I'd expect prices to go up and up against a recovering oil environment but the CFO says prices fluctuate. At any rate, I always like to consider conservative worst-case scenarios, so I'm definitely not using $5.7mm in my calculations.
Comment by
oilobserver on Oct 30, 2017 1:22am
i expressed no opinion, just some analysis based on financial statements - why is your most imprortant critisism how long my account has been alive? happy to resond to analytical responses - but this is pretty weak. If you'd be happier to drive on in the dark, without looking at financial statements, I'm happy to go back in to the background...
Comment by
wittmann on Nov 05, 2017 7:24pm
Hi Broker.My tablet won't allow downloads.Just wondering..did Wolf say anything more about drilling this year?..Only 2 months left so it's doubtful...but do you know?I can't find anything more than on past updates. Thanks.
Comment by
BrokerG on Nov 06, 2017 9:56am
Nothing specific. He mentioned that they will continue to drill along the same line and is extremely optimistic on future growth from that field. NO exact drilling dates mentioned. They most likely want to see some cash flow over the next few months and then begin setting up financing for the next wells. I would hope that would be made public soon.
Comment by
pabaloo on Oct 30, 2017 5:07pm
Well you clowns herd the boss! Beat it! He's the only one who knows anything here your opinions dont count