Post by
bridgenut107 on Dec 16, 2020 11:47am
again just a reminder folks before you lose your perspective
when the new NAV comes out for end of Jan 2021 remember there are two components of NAV
1. the numerator .....this is the market value of publicly known and privately unknown companies/investment instrument assets.
there is no audit on these numbers whatsoever. In the case of private companies, it might even include cypto currencies and various types of tokens. Tokens should be judged with some investor concern from the standpoint of what are they really worth if they needed to be cashed in quickly. For example and i dont know if IDK owns any but Kamari tokens have not traded in 6 months ....zeu and / sx has/had a ton of them and they are $$$$$$ ???????.
In addition private companies simply do not reveal anything. Their value is what the author wishes to provide their public info on. Could be right or wrong . IDK has some serious private holdings in their total portfolio. We saw this with BWN and PNP before .
so , finally a good portion of your numerator is hopefully realistically disclosed BUT THERE ARE NO GUARANTEES.
2. the denominator ....ahhhhh yes therein lies the real story . Anyone owning IDK before May 2019 and Mar 2020 has been forced by reverse splits to give back to treasury about 90% of their shares . Since the denominator is the number of outstanding shares , be aware that the outstanding shares have been reduced by 85-90% in the last 20 months so that number will be 85-90% lower than it was automatically. LOWER SHARES OUTSTANDING =MUCH HIGHER NAV
The net result is that the NAV reported is based on 85-90% fewer shares outstanding than 20 months ago and the numerator is made up of a large proportion of unaudited and unverifiable $$$.
Be that as it may , the mere wilingness to report NAV is a big plus but it comes with serious warning labels.
IDK seems to be making a real comeback . So far so good . Go Baby Go .
Anyone investing in IDK before May 2019 and also investing before Mar 2020 is about 30-40 % of the way back to breaking even with their capital ( no investment income , just return of capital invested ).
GLTA . Remember the above , it comes from many lessons from the past. Let's see this work out for everyone . Again GLTA
Comment by
bridgenut107 on Dec 26, 2020 12:46pm
interesting post and very true. Well done .