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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Greenbriar Sustainable Living Inc GEBRF


Primary Symbol: V.GRB

Greenbriar Sustainable Living Inc. is a developer of sustainable entry-level housing and renewable energy projects. The Company’s primary business is the acquisition, management, development, and possible sale of real estate and renewable energy projects. It operates through three segments: real estate development in the United States (Real Estate), solar energy projects in Puerto Rico (Solar... see more

TSXV:GRB - Post Discussion

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Post by shneps on Oct 25, 2024 8:44am

Montalva

I have to assume this was what Ronnie Strasser was referencing related to finding out about Montalva by mid October and likely nothing by the end of the year.

Note the pricing aspect. We were told Montalva was 25% cheaper per MWh, the battery storage of  40MW was given free and the $15M+ in transmission line upgrades were also free.

- Commercial Operations in (24) months.
Montalva was to be in (31) months.

- There is also a ESSA (Energy Storage Service Agreement) required. This has never been mentioned previously. Only the PPOA.

- As for the PPOA, it has been in front of the FOMB for over a year - "
 On October 4, 2023,...The agreement is with the Puerto Rico Financial Oversight and Management Board for approval." - SEC 20F filing

- Confirmed site control?
Option agreement ends soon. Optioner has died. Are all the actual land owners still onboard? Properties are going up for sale around the site. This risk factor is noted in the SEC filings.

- As for financing. There has been no update on a "mandate letter" for Montalva, let alone a firm commitment letter for financing of the project based on the actual PPOA. GRB is currently offering their project at a signifcant discount to any other proponents. The other proponents are having difficultly financing at the prices that were just cancelled in the Tranche 3.

- The project still requires Environmental Approvals for which there are numerous groups waiting on the sidelines in opposition of the project. These groups applied to the courts to have the project stopped but the courts response was basically, "They don't have a PPOA so the case is currently irrelevant."

- Has an interconnection study for the project been completed and approved? Silence on that one.

Again, silence is a big issue here.

"This is to notify Proponents that Tranche 3 has been cancelled.  Pricing received was determined to be unsustainable for the citizens of Puerto Rico.

October 24, 2024                    RFP issued

October 24, 2024                    The Interconnection Request Queue Website opens

October 24, 2024                    The Tranche 4 Website opens

November 7, 2024                  The Interconnection Request Queue Website closes

November 25, 2024                Bid submissions due by 12:00 PM AST

December 31, 2024                Accepted Contracts submitted to PREB for approval

  • Renewable resources for a term of 25 years
  • Standalone BESS for a term of 20 years, to be charged and discharged by LUMA
  • Renewable resources co-located with standalone BESS will be accepted but individual contracts (a PPOA and ESSA) will be required.
  • Confirmed Site Control
  • A viable plan to obtain financing
  • A plan to begin commercial operations within 2 years of contract execution
  • Demonstrated experience financing, constructing, and operating a similar project
  • Pricing no greater than the fixed target price (no price escalation) of
    • $125/MWh for renewable resources,
    • $25,000/MW-mo for 4-hour energy storage systems, or
    • $33,750/MW-mo for 6-hour energy storage systems.
  • Firm and final pricing: there will be no refresh opportunity"
Comment by shneps on Oct 25, 2024 8:51am
Looks like everything coming to a head on December 31st 2024 for both Montalva and for Sage Ranch, as standing agreements expiry on that date. Popcorn
Comment by Baserunner on Oct 25, 2024 11:49am
Trance 3! Cancelled! Headlines in local papers! This thing l believe doesn't get approved for many months if at all! What train wreck!
Comment by Baserunner on Oct 28, 2024 9:00am
Looks like major selling starting to happen maybe? Looks like no deals to be closed for some time and the head bottlewasher needs money! 
Comment by Samren on Oct 25, 2024 3:53pm
They must be really smart over there at Grb and Pwr.  I hv no idea what they're doing.   Hope they're smarter than me !! 
Comment by shneps on Oct 25, 2024 5:13pm
I have to say, the revised agreements certainly take the expertise of lawyers in the know. And you have know idea as to what's happening? Makes me feel not quite so dumb.
Comment by shneps on Oct 25, 2024 5:58pm
I do feel dumb after reading the last post. Lol "And you have know idea as to what's happening?" Not "know" but "no". Have a good weekend.
Comment by shneps on Oct 25, 2024 9:11am
If Greenbriar has given all these concessions to have the project approved. Why hasn't it been approved? The bigger question would be, if they were to particpate in the RFP process then shareholders would receive about a 25% - 30% higher return on their investment if they were to just match the fixed target pricing of Tranche 4. Nothing makes sense as more information comes forward.
Comment by shneps on Oct 25, 2024 1:45pm
Even if PREPA emerges from bankruptcy protection the PPOA agreements stipulate that any benefits garnered from entering into more favorable terms must be shared between parties. As every month goes by, everything changes. It's no wonder they haven't provided any actual financial updates related to generation and revenues. The old numbers are out there and our forward looking statements ...more  
Comment by tylerreddick on Oct 25, 2024 2:33pm
I could see major players using their equity to finance those projects, but borrowing 100% of the money to build one just seems a bit of a stretch. Thoughts?
Comment by shneps on Oct 25, 2024 3:46pm
Right now, due the fact PREPA is still in bankruptcy protection, the  Department of Energy is backing some of the loan guarantees. But they are not handed out willy nilly to anybody who wants one. And they are not free by any means.
Comment by tylerreddick on Oct 25, 2024 10:10am
" Demonstrated experience financing, constructing, and operating a similar project "  
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