Post by
survivor2015 on Nov 11, 2017 11:53am
Buying opportunity in the low $3s - don't blink
Is it just me or is this stock target of a hostile take over and/or malicious traders? I've seen this type of action before. A commodity goes up and juniors get targetted for hostile take overs via market games.
Granite just reported and there's people out the targetting all the negativity and showcasing none of the positives. I only see buying opportunitiies and I'm planning to increase my small position into Granite Oil Corp trading as GXO.TO in Canada and GXOCF in the US by a significant amount as soon as the panic stops.
What we have with Granite:
1. A solid "buy and hold" with a rock solid balance sheet with management showing how it can navigate crazy oil swings. They have proven to hedge at the right time in a conservative and prudent manner and have proven that they won't pump uneconomical oil to make the numbers to try please shareholders on the short term against the tide but at their detriment longer term. What's not to love?
2. A solid dividend player. Please show me a better junior not only in oil but anywhere which pays 13% dividends. Has a proven track record and has committed to paying dividends. The stock trades as if the dividend cut is imminent. Ridiculous. What's not to love with safe 13% dividends?
3. They have massive reserves for its size. A tiny market cap of $113M CAD or $89M USD. Unheard of. There are many worthless Ventures stock that have large markets caps running on nothing but hot air. This company has 100% own assets or Conventional Oil in. They own their pipelines. They are in for the long term. Short term traders are just trying to mind manipulate investors here. That's clear to me.
4. The underlining commodity is consolidating at $57 WTI, and Brent at $64. WCS crude is almost $55. The bull trend is set and not broken short term from June 2017 and longer term from Feb 2016. Might there be a pullback? Sure but don't ignore the longer trend and fundamentals. Saudi Arabia wants attractive oil for its Aramco IPO. Russia has decades of history as the world's best "head fake" and "fake news" world puppet masters.
The short selling traders are now trying to convince investors that Q4 is going to be horrid, that new lows will be set, that management isn't growing production during uncertain oil price times. All rubbish talk.
Their narrative that the dividends will be cut has "done its job" on the share price and now they are adding more FUD - Fear Uncertainty and Doubt to the pot to fool the less solid investors. Sickening.
If you get fooled by these traders, then you might wish to find a money manager for your money. I, for one, will be buying here. If you sell, I might be you buyer. I'm setting my bids between $3.11 and $3.21 but with the comapny declaring the end of November dividends at any moment now, that might be too low? Anyone else setting bids to buy?
Comment by
JDavis17 on Nov 11, 2017 11:57am
They need $60 WTI to be able to pay the dividend. We may get there, but we aren't there yet. And no one can say their results didn't suck.
Comment by
JDavis17 on Nov 11, 2017 12:39pm
I have no position in GXO, nor plan to, but have followed the story from the start. I know the operation well. Yes, I am an active and extremely experienced investor. As for your accusations, you make me laugh.