Join today and have your say! It’s FREE!

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.
Please Try Again
{{ error }}
By providing my email, I consent to receiving investment related electronic messages from Stockhouse.

or

Sign In

Please Try Again
{{ error }}
Password Hint : {{passwordHint}}
Forgot Password?

or

Please Try Again {{ error }}

Send my password

SUCCESS
An email was sent with password retrieval instructions. Please go to the link in the email message to retrieve your password.

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.
Quote  |  Bullboard  |  News  |  Opinion  |  Profile  |  Peers  |  Filings  |  Financials  |  Options  |  Price History  |  Ratios  |  Ownership  |  Insiders  |  Valuation

Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Hudson's Bay Co. HBAYF

Hudson's Bay Co, or HBC, is a Canadian retail business group. The company operates department stores throughout Canada, Belgium, Germany, and the United States under various banners. These banners include Saks Fifth Avenue, Hudson's Bay, Lord & Taylor, and Off 5th in North America and Galeria Kaufhof, Galeria Inno, and Sportarena in Europe. HBC also has investments in real estate joint ventures... see more

OTCPK:HBAYF - Post Discussion

View:
Post by MrBigger on Jan 29, 2017 10:26am

sears

When it rains, it pours. That's an old adage executives at Sears Holding  (SHLD) could fully appreciate this week. 

 

Shares of the dying owner of Sears and Kmart have crashed over 19% to $7.42 during the last five sessions, triggered by renewed fears the end is nearing for the once storied retailer. Sears CEO Eddie Lampert, who owns about 31.2 million shares of the company according to Bloomberg data, has lost a cool $48 million during the latest rout.

 

To be sure, the market has good reason to be dumping Sears right now.   

 

Sears burned through $1.6 billion in cash last year, said Fitch Ratings on Wednesday, adding that it expects the company to burn through another $1.8 billion this year. As a result, Fitch estimates Sears will have to raise approximately $2 billion in liquidity in 2017, roughly in line with the annual average over the past five years, if it wants to keep the doors open.

 

Fitch believes restructuring risk for Sears remains "high" over the next 12 to 24 months given the significant cash burn and reduced sources of liquidity.

 

Just last week, Moody's downgraded its credit rating on Sears to Caa2 from Caa1. The downgrade reflected the accelerating negative sales performance of Sears' business, Moody's said.

 

"Although Sears has been able to fund its continued cash shortfalls through planned asset monetization, and additional financings, a meaningful business turnaround in fiscal 2017 is critical given the continued reduction of its asset base", said Moody's VP Christina Boni. "We expect operating cash flow to approach a disappointing loss of $1.5 billion for fiscal 2016."

 
Sears currently has just 211 unencumbered properties (properties that haven't already been pledged as collateral for debt) left across the Sears and Kmart concepts that Moody's values at $2.5 billion. It also points out Sears could still raise an undetermined amount of money from the sale of its Kenmore and Diehard brands.
 

But Moody's valuation of those remaining assets could be in question for two reasons.

 

First, the remaining stores are arguably some of Sears' worst, seeing that they haven't been pledged to raise cash in recent years. Second, Sears put Kenmore and Diehard up for sale last May, and there has been no indication that prospective buyers have been ringing CEO Edward Lampert's phone off the hook to secure a deal.

 

Indeed it was quite telling as to the value -- or lack thereof -- of Diehard and Kenmore in that Craftsman was the first brand to be sold off.

 

"The company must improve its business performance dramatically to have a meaningful impact on its high cash burn," writes Moody's Boni. Adding insult to injury, Boni reiterated her concern over the viability of discounter Kmart due to "meaningful market share erosion."

 

For Sears, the comments from the ratings agencies are a harsh reminder that recent cash raising efforts this month are probably nothing more than short-term fixes and that its death still looms large.

 

Earlier this month, Sears inked a deal with Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) to acquire Craftsman for a total consideration of $900 million. As TheStreet reported last October, Craftsman was rumored to fetch about $2 billion in a sale process that kicked off in May. Stanley Black & Decker will pay Sears $525 million in cash on an undisclosed closing date, $250 million three years after the deal has closed, and annual payments on new Stanley Black & Decker Craftsman sales through year 15.

 

Sears also entered into a $500 million secured loan facility with Lampert's hedge fund ESL Investments. Of the total, $321 million was funded under the loan facility, with the remaining $179 million available for withdrawal in the future. In a sign of Sears' beleaguered financial state, the loan bears an interest rate of 8%.

 

 

Kmart is also dying

 

Securing the loan facility are the mortgages of 46 Sears properties. If Sears draws from the remaining $179 million, it will add additional properties as security.

 

The company also scored a standby letter of credit facility from affiliates of ESL Investments, allowing it to draw an initial amount of up to $200 million. The hedge fund provided $300 million of debt financing last August after funding $125 million of a $500 million loan in April.

 

The cash raising is necessary for Sears not only to stay in business, but to also try and prepare for looming debt repayments.

 

At issue for Sears is how it will repay some $2.8 billion in high yield bonds and institutional term loans coming due in the next few years. In July 2017, or about eight months from now, Sears will have a $500 million term loan secured by 21 properties come due. It's already borrowed all but $11 million of that sum.

 

Sears spokesman Howard Riefs didn't return a request for comment.

 
 
 
 
 

When it rains, it pours. That's an old adage executives at Sears Holding  (SHLD) could fully appreciate this week. 

 

Shares of the dying owner of Sears and Kmart have crashed over 19% to $7.42 during the last five sessions, triggered by renewed fears the end is nearing for the once storied retailer. Sears CEO Eddie Lampert, who owns about 31.2 million shares of the company according to Bloomberg data, has lost a cool $48 million during the latest rout.

 

To be sure, the market has good reason to be dumping Sears right now.   

 

Sears burned through $1.6 billion in cash last year, said Fitch Ratings on Wednesday, adding that it expects the company to burn through another $1.8 billion this year. As a result, Fitch estimates Sears will have to raise approximately $2 billion in liquidity in 2017, roughly in line with the annual average over the past five years, if it wants to keep the doors open.

 

Fitch believes restructuring risk for Sears remains "high" over the next 12 to 24 months given the significant cash burn and reduced sources of liquidity.

 

Just last week, Moody's downgraded its credit rating on Sears to Caa2 from Caa1. The downgrade reflected the accelerating negative sales performance of Sears' business, Moody's said.

 

"Although Sears has been able to fund its continued cash shortfalls through planned asset monetization, and additional financings, a meaningful business turnaround in fiscal 2017 is critical given the continued reduction of its asset base", said Moody's VP Christina Boni. "We expect operating cash flow to approach a disappointing loss of $1.5 billion for fiscal 2016."

 
Sears currently has just 211 unencumbered properties (properties that haven't already been pledged as collateral for debt) left across the Sears and Kmart concepts that Moody's values at $2.5 billion. It also points out Sears could still raise an undetermined amount of money from the sale of its Kenmore and Diehard brands.
 

But Moody's valuation of those remaining assets could be in question for two reasons.

 

First, the remaining stores are arguably some of Sears' worst, seeing that they haven't been pledged to raise cash in recent years. Second, Sears put Kenmore and Diehard up for sale last May, and there has been no indication that prospective buyers have been ringing CEO Edward Lampert's phone off the hook to secure a deal.

 

Indeed it was quite telling as to the value -- or lack thereof -- of Diehard and Kenmore in that Craftsman was the first brand to be sold off.

 

"The company must improve its business performance dramatically to have a meaningful impact on its high cash burn," writes Moody's Boni. Adding insult to injury, Boni reiterated her concern over the viability of discounter Kmart due to "meaningful market share erosion."

 

For Sears, the comments from the ratings agencies are a harsh reminder that recent cash raising efforts this month are probably nothing more than short-term fixes and that its death still looms large.

 

Earlier this month, Sears inked a deal with Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) to acquire Craftsman for a total consideration of $900 million. As TheStreet reported last October, Craftsman was rumored to fetch about $2 billion in a sale process that kicked off in May. Stanley Black & Decker will pay Sears $525 million in cash on an undisclosed closing date, $250 million three years after the deal has closed, and annual payments on new Stanley Black & Decker Craftsman sales through year 15.

 

Sears also entered into a $500 million secured loan facility with Lampert's hedge fund ESL Investments. Of the total, $321 million was funded under the loan facility, with the remaining $179 million available for withdrawal in the future. In a sign of Sears' beleaguered financial state, the loan bears an interest rate of 8%.

 

 

Kmart is also dying

 

Securing the loan facility are the mortgages of 46 Sears properties. If Sears draws from the remaining $179 million, it will add additional properties as security.

 

The company also scored a standby letter of credit facility from affiliates of ESL Investments, allowing it to draw an initial amount of up to $200 million. The hedge fund provided $300 million of debt financing last August after funding $125 million of a $500 million loan in April.

 

The cash raising is necessary for Sears not only to stay in business, but to also try and prepare for looming debt repayments.

 

At issue for Sears is how it will repay some $2.8 billion in high yield bonds and institutional term loans coming due in the next few years. In July 2017, or about eight months from now, Sears will have a $500 million term loan secured by 21 properties come due. It's already borrowed all but $11 million of that sum.

 

Sears spokesman Howard Riefs didn't return a request for comment.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by skyplt on Jan 29, 2017 11:29am
The point really sunk in after the third time I read this article;)
Comment by parthent on Jan 29, 2017 12:59pm
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by jodietoadie on Jan 29, 2017 1:31pm
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by Marky2 on Jan 29, 2017 1:54pm
Nice post Jodie!  I guess the only difference for me is that I own Hbc and not Sears....Have to to root for the Home Team!!
Comment by onec007 on Jan 29, 2017 8:23pm
It's way too premature to write off HBC. The whole retail space is just cut-throat and anemic right now  mainly due to aggressive competition. Amazon's prescence can't be ignore! HBC has a great brand and I honestly think their product mix is getting much better, but they need to focus more on growing their online presence and maximize their real estate. I was at their downstairs ...more  
Comment by onec007 on Jan 29, 2017 8:27pm
Up to 60% off. Subcontract out some space out of their flagship stores and be more of a landlord and spin off the real estate. Like I said before until this happens it'll go back to the 9s
Comment by Marky2 on Jan 29, 2017 1:05pm
Lol Sktplt....I got bored after the first reading...I don't feel that HBC is going the same way as Sears!They are expanding into new horizons ( Germany, Netherlands)..Their real estate holdings are much more valuable than those of Sears...Their online shopping division is growing leaps and bounds,.... I feel that there will be an upturn in the fortunes of HBC in Q3 and Q4....Just don't ...more  
Comment by CaptainConn on Jan 29, 2017 7:11pm
Similar comparisons can be made for any comapny in any sector. No one thought blackberry would die but it is. Does that mean I should not buy Apple stock? All I got out of this post was this: do you believe HBC is a strong company that can survive or not? If you think HBC will be able to generate strong revenue - buy the stock. If you don't - don't buy it. But this logic applies all ...more  
Comment by Marky2 on Jan 29, 2017 7:45pm
Tue Captain...I feel that the companys that evolve with the times will survive! HBC is improving their online footprint, becoming stronger and stronger in that field...They just opened a huge robotic distribution centre in Scarborough, one of the most modern facilities in North America....They are renovating many of their stores to better serve the public...They are expanding into rich areas in ...more  
The Market Update
{{currentVideo.title}} {{currentVideo.relativeTime}}
< Previous bulletin
Next bulletin >

At the Bell logo
A daily snapshot of everything
from market open to close.

{{currentVideo.companyName}}
{{currentVideo.intervieweeName}}{{currentVideo.intervieweeTitle}}
< Previous
Next >
Dealroom for high-potential pre-IPO opportunities