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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum High River Gold Mines Ltd HRIVF

GREY:HRIVF - Post Discussion

High River Gold Mines Ltd > Take Over Bid Analysis
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Post by NaturalCurrency on Jun 18, 2009 7:30pm

Take Over Bid Analysis

*Green represents the various % of minority shares that are tendered in first phase (Take Over Bid)

*Blue represent the various % of remaining minority shares are tendered in the second phase (Plan of Arrangement)

*The % in the white/red box is the final minority % tendered in Plan of Arrangement. Severstal gets control at more than 50% (which are represented by red hue)

We can see the various combinations of green and red %s where Severstal is successful. For example, in the first phase, if they get only 5% shares tendered, then they need close to 50% of the remaining minority shares to see them through. 

On the other hand, if they get 25% shares in the first phase, then they can sail through with only about 35% remaining shares in the next phase. 

Needless to say, we should work towards making sure they get nothing in the first phase. Where are we in terms of getting a shareholder list and calling folks individually?
% Minority Tendering in Take Over Bid  % Remaining Minority Tendering in Plan of Arrangement
5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
5% 10% 15% 19% 24% 29% 34% 38% 43% 48% 53%
10% 15% 19% 24% 28% 33% 37% 42% 46% 51% 55%
15% 19% 24% 28% 32% 36% 41% 45% 49% 53% 58%
20% 24% 28% 32% 36% 40% 44% 48% 52% 56% 60%
25% 29% 33% 36% 40% 44% 48% 51% 55% 59% 63%
30% 34% 37% 41% 44% 48% 51% 55% 58% 62% 65%
35% 38% 42% 45% 48% 51% 55% 58% 61% 64% 68%
40% 43% 46% 49% 52% 55% 58% 61% 64% 67% 70%
45% 48% 51% 53% 56% 59% 62% 64% 67% 70% 73%
50% 53% 55% 58% 60% 63% 65% 68% 70% 73% 75%

Comment by NaturalCurrency on Jun 18, 2009 7:32pm
Sorry, I meant "We can see the various combinations of green and blue %s where Severstal is successful. For example, in the first phase, if they get only 5% shares tendered, then they need close to 50% of the remaining minority shares to see them through". 
Comment by Kee000 on Jun 18, 2009 7:40pm
Well people need to quit giving there shares away. Do you think that this paradign capital could be picking up these cheap shares too use against us in the future. I think so. Feel free too correct me if i,m wrong as i am really not very savvy on these matters. --polly
Comment by Kee000 on Jun 18, 2009 9:52pm
Natural please put me on list for 26500 shares at a buck. Think its worth more though. i believe there holding back bissa results.  Thank you polly
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