If we assume the Risk to be -21,76% with a possible TargetPrice at R$1,7/share (C$0,425/GDR)
presenting the cashburn until results from Murombe & a possible dry well
& if we assume the Reward to be +1428,92%
with a possible TargetPrice at R$33,47/share (C$8,37/GDR)
presenting R$4/boe (US$2/boe), wich I believe is quite conservative, as an emediate reaction to the shareprice, in the event of a discovery at murombe with pmean net unrisked 0,86*2,7bn boe = +R$9,29bn (US$2,32bn)
0,45/share / 31,32/share
resulting in a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1/69,
worth a bet, with a chance of success 23,5%...
& upcoming results of the gas monetization plan with
Subsurface resource capacity already established with base case 5 MM m
3/d and high case of 7 MM m3/d & Polvo field producing 8500boe net to HRT…
GLA