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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Petro Rio S.A. HRTPF

"Petro Rio SA is engaged in exploration and production of oil and gas in Brazil and abroad. The Company is currently engaged in the hydrocarbon production in Polvo field."

GREY:HRTPF - Post Discussion

Petro Rio S.A. > Risk/Reward Ratio is huge 1/69
View:
Post by DrillaHill on Jun 06, 2013 4:55am

Risk/Reward Ratio is huge 1/69

If we assume the Risk to be -21,76%

with a possible TargetPrice at R$1,7/share (C$0,425/GDR)

presenting the cashburn until results from Murombe & a possible dry well

 

& if we assume the Reward to be +1428,92%

with a possible TargetPrice at R$33,47/share (C$8,37/GDR)

presenting R$4/boe (US$2/boe), wich I believe is quite conservative, as an emediate reaction to the shareprice, in the event of a discovery at murombe with pmean net unrisked 0,86*2,7bn boe = +R$9,29bn (US$2,32bn)

 

0,45/share / 31,32/share

 

resulting in a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1/69,

worth a bet, with a chance of success 23,5%...

& upcoming results of the gas monetization plan with

Subsurface resource capacity already established with base case 5 MM m

3/d and high case of 7 MM m3/d & Polvo field producing 8500boe net to HRT…

 

GLA

Comment by robnhood on Jun 06, 2013 8:24am
And every day the risk/reward ratio gets better...  How good is that-- WOW
Comment by DrillaHill on Jun 06, 2013 8:33am
Yes it does, good stuff isn't it, great opportunity to add up!! cheers & GL :)