Join today and have your say! It’s FREE!

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.
Please Try Again
{{ error }}
By providing my email, I consent to receiving investment related electronic messages from Stockhouse.

or

Sign In

Please Try Again
{{ error }}
Password Hint : {{passwordHint}}
Forgot Password?

or

Please Try Again {{ error }}

Send my password

SUCCESS
An email was sent with password retrieval instructions. Please go to the link in the email message to retrieve your password.

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.
Quote  |  Bullboard  |  News  |  Opinion  |  Profile  |  Peers  |  Filings  |  Financials  |  Options  |  Price History  |  Ratios  |  Ownership  |  Insiders  |  Valuation

Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum La Mancha Resources Inc LACHF

GREY:LACHF - Post Discussion

View:
Post by RedHorizon on May 08, 2009 4:21pm

Valuation

I have read in a few places that precious metal producers trade for 10x operating cash flow.  Someone had posted that they should get a lower multiple due to lower ounces in the Reserve categories.  That's possible, I'm not really sure how the funds will look at LMA.  What I do know though is that if we consider that LMA has 1.7 million ounces in M&I resources then we have a 17 year operating life which is not short.  Add to that the 600,000 ounces in the inferred categories plus the company's ability to add more ounces every year.

I'm not sure that LMA deserves a discount to it's peers.  LMA is showing successful operating performance.  Costs under control, production growing, ounces growing, credible management.  I think LMA is worth the 10x operating cash flow multiple for these reasons.  And the bonus a buyer will get if they pay that is they still get the production growth for free and the VMS for free!  

10x cash flow gives us a $440 million market cap, in C$, which is a touch over $3 per share.  That's a long ways up!  And includes no gold price increase, no value for the vms, and no production growth beyond the 2009 level.

I am holding tight.  Continued success to all!
Comment by griffen1 on May 08, 2009 7:39pm
Well.....they just showed 2 profitable quarters...but of course the sp discounts apply for African production....If money losing Kirkland lake, that professes to want to be producing in 2010 what La Mancha is today, can trade at 10 times La Mancha per share, there is still alot of upside to this stock. 
Comment by autres888 on May 09, 2009 1:57pm
nice work on the numbers, Red.  I'm still under water on this one, but I'm coming to the surface