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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum NORTHERN SUN MINING CORP LBEFF

GREY:LBEFF - Post Discussion

NORTHERN SUN MINING CORP > I found this note on the AG board
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Post by rocksolid47 on Apr 03, 2010 4:04pm

I found this note on the AG board

I found this note on the AG board

Mikey, hope this makes cents (get it). The issue as you point out is that the $11 nickel price is always posted in US dollars. So one must convert that into Cdn currency if youre a Cdn company. You pay your bills in Cdn currency. So its important to bring in as much Cdn revenue to met those bills.

With the exchange rate currently almost at par you could almost say the company is earning $11 Cdn for each pure pound of nickel sold.

So if indeed as Gary has said publically that the operating cost is $7 per pound Cdn, you could say there is a $4 profit per pure pound of nickel sold.

However the $7 operating cost is just that. It does not include the extra administrative, amortization and interest expense per pound that also increases your true expense per pound.

Then on the revenue side of things as per the feasibility report, the company does not really receive the posted $11 per pure pound of nickel sold. Theres the question of the 3% nsr's that are paid to third parties who owned the mineral leases before the company. Then there are all the Xstrata processing fees that must be deducted before you get paid the final cheque. Added are the transportation expenses to ship the concentrate to Xstrata. I'm not sure if there are shipping expenses either to get the final product into JnJ's hands. There could be a further deduction from them. Others I'm sure can correct that.

Then one has to ask if there is enough profit (if any) to actually pay down the various obligations of debt and accrued interest, and the preferred shares and their accrued interest. Then you have to hope that there is enough money left over so capital commitments like developing Hart can be met and further drilling, expansions to the mill etc etc. Further debt could probably look after that need but I would assume the current obligations would have to be paid down at least to warrant that.

The recent year end financials give you some idea on how this all adds up if you can keep track of all the pluses and minuses. But then I'm not a CA.

 

Comment by legend7 on Apr 03, 2010 6:04pm
So Rocksolid I have one question...do you believe everything that Tantalon said in his message??
Comment by rocksolid47 on Apr 04, 2010 12:02am
Legend, Why not let the financial reports for year end do the talking. https://www.sedar.com/FindCompanyDocuments.do Rocksolid
Comment by legend7 on Apr 04, 2010 1:54am
Rocksolid, Where in the financials would it tell me we have $7 per pound costs at full production? The financials were exactly what I expected no surprises we were not mining that much on a daily basis and there is no way anyone with a head on there shoulders would think we would have turned a profit? Quarter one will be a bit better and Quarter 2 will be even better than 1 but Quarter 3 is when ...more  
Comment by rocksolid47 on Apr 04, 2010 12:06pm
LegendLet’s see if the orders of these loans are straight. First, 556,630 is (was) due on Jan 17, 2010. Oops missed that one so it gets reviewed for another term at 8% and is due in again on April 17, 2010. It will be worth 560,412 by then. Second, we have two loans of $1,000,000 & $600,000 due on March, 17 2010. Oops, missed those as well. Tack on 8% to those as well and make them due later ...more  
Comment by legend7 on Apr 04, 2010 4:03pm
Rocksolid, I like how you conviently forget to answer my question regarding the $7 costs that you are lying about!! Nice one you seem to have some similarities to Tantalon?? ?Are you guys  buddiesThe loans you are talking about are mostly on the smaller side and I have no concerns if they are extended it really just shows how commited JJ is to Liberty as a company. All of the loans you ...more  
Comment by ExSudburyGuy2 on Apr 05, 2010 9:45am
How come no one's talking about the going-ons at AG? I now understand why anyone who ever criticized a company there got kicked off and banned. It would also explain a lot of the posts by the pumpers. That's where LBE's stock options went by the way. https://www.osc.gov.on.ca/en/Proceedings_soa_20100401_agoracom.htm
Comment by victor2009 on Apr 05, 2010 3:25pm
ExSudburyGuy2,I find it very interesting that OSC is going after the "other forum". I think many know AG is a one way street, they are earning fees from companies for promotion, they were not about to bite the hands (including potential "hands") that feed them. Their "policing" system also lends itself to having the forum controlled by one or more individuals ...more  
Comment by rocksolid47 on Apr 05, 2010 5:05pm
Looks like the bashers have started a new offensive. They want to get attention away from LBE which will soon be JJ. The LBE financial report was abysmal to say the least. It is caught in a debt spiral and is very unlikely to recover. It’s too bad because they had some small but decent properties but was run by a management that has a taste for extravagant spending and under achieving.Rocksolid
Comment by canusa on Apr 05, 2010 6:39pm
Interesting you say that but please tell me why Gary Nash continues to pick up some shares....www.canadianinsider.comHe picked up another 30k last week...
Comment by ExSudburyGuy2 on Apr 06, 2010 8:14am
Re the stock options. This is from the OSC's statement of allegations: AG "offers pricing models for its clients which incorporate a monthly fee and stock options equalling the greater of 250,000 shares or 0.5% of a company’s fully diluted outstanding share total at current prices." In other words, in exchange for faking posts to look like there was interest, pumping the stock and ...more  
Comment by Nickel77 on Apr 06, 2010 10:09am
ExsudburyGuy2,  Is there a reason you never try and phone or email LBE to get your questions or concerns answered before suggesting LBE might be involved in something?  They do answer and respond to all concerns.  A quick call this am revealed “The options were set a $ 2.39 and not exercised.  LBE then cancelled the contract after 6 months”.   Hope this clears up ...more  
Comment by victor2009 on Apr 06, 2010 1:02pm
ExSudburyGuy2 / Nickel77,Thanks for the information. AG would be starving on quite a few contracts if they were relying on options only. I can understand the temptation to use a promotion firm when trying to raise money in the mining business - you're competing for risk dollars with other companies, some of which have some very aggressive (borderline deceptive) approaches to promoting.  ...more