Post by
Bwrbhk on Jan 22, 2023 4:50pm
Vote calculation
In order to defeat the Glencore takeout, we need 18.8 million votes against the proposal. Since the announcement, 3.7 million shares have traded and the new owners will not be able to vote their shares and the selling shareholders have no incentive to vote. Therefore there will likely be 37.5-3.7=33.8 shares that will be eligible to vote. The dissenting group own about 8.25 million shares or 22% of the priority units and they will be voting against the current proposal. We need 33.8 x.501=16.9 million votes to defeat the proposed takeover. That means we need 16.9-8.25=8.65 million shares in addition to dissenting groups shares to defeat the proposal. Should be a piece of cake.
Comment by
ljp0101 on Jan 26, 2023 5:10am
This is probably right. Glencore is happy if they get the vote goes through, which it won't. And if it doesn't pass then they're happy to push through a deeply discounted rights issue and blame shareholders for anything that goes wrong. Win/win. Break fee is neither here nor there.