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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Paramount Resources Ltd PRMRF


Primary Symbol: T.POU

Paramount Resources Ltd. is a Canada-based liquids-rich natural gas focused energy company. The Company explores for and develops both conventional and unconventional petroleum and natural gas, including longer-term strategic exploration and pre-development plays, and holds a portfolio of investments in other entities. The Company’s principal properties are located in Alberta and British... see more

TSX:POU - Post Discussion

Paramount Resources Ltd > Ink Research published that the shorts have returned to pou
View:
Post by WillyGreen on Jan 08, 2025 7:48pm

Ink Research published that the shorts have returned to pou

Let me understand the rationale behind the short position. Received 3.3b cash, disposed of $1b Aro ($300-500m npv), nva still on the balance sheet (500m +\~)  so net net roughly 3.8b cash plus removal of  liabilities of $300-500m. Shorts giving pou credit of roughly $5 per share for 30000 bpd post transaction rising to 47000 by year end 2025; 60000-67000 bpd by year end 2026.  Hmm. Now add Sinclair, former Koch lands and still $1b on the balance sheet. Wow they must be on to something! Buying it up all day and twice on Sundays while I'm at Church. Pain trade.
Comment by MyHoneyPot on Jan 08, 2025 10:00pm
My thinking for POU is this, 27 dollars a share in cash/equities and their paying out 15 dollars. That leaves 12 dollars a share on the balance sheet.  Jim Riddel - running the company add 5 dollars a share 12 dollars a share residual after payout. There is your 32 dollars a share evaluation. The richest oil and gas faimly in Canada, with the best assets in the country..  Trump knows ...more  
Comment by Quintessential1 on Jan 08, 2025 11:57pm
So why is the VP of operations cashing in options?   Filed 2025-01-06 14:49 Tx date 2025-01-06     $POU Paramount Resources Ltd.   Reid, David Blake 5  ...more  
Comment by MyHoneyPot on Jan 09, 2025 8:30am
Because everyone deserves a pay day, and they have their own tax planning and personnel finance siturations to consider. I also myself have been buying because i know POU has many things on the go, but they just keep them quiet.  When you invest in POU, you have to come to terms with the fact that a lot of the big deals in Oil and Gas are not even publically known.  They are done at ...more  
Comment by Quintessential1 on Jan 09, 2025 11:13am
Yeah but he didn't exercise options and hold, he exercised options and sold. He has to know that he has a $12 tax free ROC per share coming regardless given the strike price of the options. Also as VP of operations I have to think he has access to those "on the go" deals that are not "publically known".  He is under no obligation to sell his excercised options which ...more  
Comment by WillyGreen on Jan 09, 2025 11:57am
If the $12 return of capital puts his acb in a negative position, he is paying capital gains on that whether he sells or not. Just as an aside, I would place no emphasis on the trades of the executives at Pou other than Jim. I've seen executives sell  all along the way yet I was buying. They are  always worried about diversification (other than the Riddell's) getting a paycheck ...more  
Comment by WillyGreen on Jan 09, 2025 3:19pm
Quinte - as a follow up, and for whatever the information posted on X is worth, Mr. Reid now owns 86470 shares. 
Comment by Quintessential1 on Jan 09, 2025 4:19pm
Thanks Willy and FWIW that info is available on this site on the insiders tab. I still think Mr.Reid is better off tax wise holding those shares unless they are in a registered account. And that it's a weird optic at this time. GL Fellow Investor. ;-)  
Comment by WillyGreen on Jan 09, 2025 5:36pm
Nothing to worry about regarding the new pou post -transaction. 
Comment by WillyGreen on Jan 09, 2025 5:46pm
Let me qualify that last comment. Fundamentally the new pou will be a beast. Nimble. Cash rich. Growing. Commoditiy prices/macroeconomic conditions etc will affect all E&Ps but maybe less so for pou given its pristine balance sheet. 
Comment by WillyGreen on Jan 09, 2025 11:03am
Quinte - hard to say without having access to all the details. I would note that the options price says $3.84. A $12 return of capital may have put Mr. Reid in a negative acb position and capital gains. Better to sell at that point. 
Comment by Quintessential1 on Jan 09, 2025 11:31am
Yes depending on the ACB of the existing shares in the account that he exercised his options in he could trigger a captial gain.  However, I am pretty certain that the sale of his exercised options triggered a larger capital gain anyway unless they were exercised in a registered account making the tax implications/benefits moot.  Hence I think I just answered my own question but thanks ...more  
Comment by MyHoneyPot on Jan 09, 2025 10:17am
Trading in Church? 
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