Post by
WillyGreen on Jan 08, 2025 7:48pm
Ink Research published that the shorts have returned to pou
Let me understand the rationale behind the short position. Received 3.3b cash, disposed of $1b Aro ($300-500m npv), nva still on the balance sheet (500m +\~) so net net roughly 3.8b cash plus removal of liabilities of $300-500m. Shorts giving pou credit of roughly $5 per share for 30000 bpd post transaction rising to 47000 by year end 2025; 60000-67000 bpd by year end 2026. Hmm. Now add Sinclair, former Koch lands and still $1b on the balance sheet. Wow they must be on to something! Buying it up all day and twice on Sundays while I'm at Church. Pain trade.
Comment by
WillyGreen on Jan 09, 2025 3:19pm
Quinte - as a follow up, and for whatever the information posted on X is worth, Mr. Reid now owns 86470 shares.
Comment by
Quintessential1 on Jan 09, 2025 4:19pm
Thanks Willy and FWIW that info is available on this site on the insiders tab. I still think Mr.Reid is better off tax wise holding those shares unless they are in a registered account. And that it's a weird optic at this time. GL Fellow Investor. ;-)
Comment by
WillyGreen on Jan 09, 2025 5:36pm
Nothing to worry about regarding the new pou post -transaction.
Comment by
WillyGreen on Jan 09, 2025 5:46pm
Let me qualify that last comment. Fundamentally the new pou will be a beast. Nimble. Cash rich. Growing. Commoditiy prices/macroeconomic conditions etc will affect all E&Ps but maybe less so for pou given its pristine balance sheet.
Comment by
WillyGreen on Jan 09, 2025 11:03am
Quinte - hard to say without having access to all the details. I would note that the options price says $3.84. A $12 return of capital may have put Mr. Reid in a negative acb position and capital gains. Better to sell at that point.