Post by
idlefreebird on Feb 28, 2019 12:33pm
Comparing Wesdom to Atlantic
Steven brings up this comment and to my homework it's no comparison...
Wesdom is a 665 M market cap with roughly 135 M shares at a cost of $4.90 a share and producing 70,000 anual ounces at a FCF of 30M due to AISC of $982 U.S.. an ounce...
Atlantic has a $521 M market cap with roughly 236M shares at a $2.20 a share and producing 90,000 ounces anualy at FCF of 80M with AISC of $528 U.S. an ounce...
When you divide a 665 M market cap into Atlantic's 236 M shares you get $2.64 , and that's not even taking into consideration that Atlantic is higher producer and definetly blows away the AISC and FCF...the market is starting to realize what management has done today and respect there past work... gltal p.s. looking forward to new resource and new share price increase....
Comment by
SeekingAu on Feb 28, 2019 1:03pm
Maybe we have to take a look on the size of the resource/LOM?
Comment by
idlefreebird on Feb 28, 2019 2:59pm
Seeking , I agree but would only be fair after our new resource...Wesdom would have to double ours to be equivalant ...but looks like Atlantic is undervalued at present...gltal
Comment by
SeekingAu on Feb 28, 2019 3:44pm
Yes, AGB is undervalued against WDO. Very intersting to hear and see: https://event.webcasts.com/viewer/event.jsp?ei=1234173&tp_key=2adcceef10
Comment by
Akkopower1 on Mar 01, 2019 6:36am
1.1bill cash flow, paid out over 9 years from 2022 to 2030, Quite a few risks going from now to generating 1.1bill in FCF per year. How much would you pay today for an income stream with those risks and timeframes?
Comment by
SeekingAu on Mar 01, 2019 6:50am
When you take a discount rate of 10% and 9 years lifetime for an ending capital of 1.1 bln you pay about 466m today. When you take a discount rate of 5% and 9 years lifetime for an ending capital of 1.1 bln you pay about 709m today.
Comment by
Akkopower1 on Mar 01, 2019 9:03am
Income doesnt start today, still 2-3 years away. We are still in pre feasibility stage too right?, 13% discount rate, 90mill paid out yearly from 2022-2030 (890mill total, 1.1bill uses a very high POG), I get $320 mill.
Comment by
nilyab on Mar 01, 2019 6:51am
Akkopower1. You said: "How much would you pay today for an income stream with those risks and timeframes?" Should we not see if we can find the math for this in some report from one of the various financial analysts who follow this company if there is some analyst who to this time has attempted to cover these new variables?