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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Southern Pacific Resource Corp STPJF

Southern Pacific Resource Corp. is a Canada-based company, which is engaged in the thermal production of heavy oil in Senlac, Saskatchewan on a property known as STP-Senlac, and thermal production of bitumen on a property located in the Athabasca region of Alberta known as STP-McKay, as well as exploration for and development of in-situ oil sands in the Athabasca region of Alberta. Its STP... see more

GREY:STPJF - Post Discussion

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Post by maramos98 on Jun 21, 2013 6:32pm

STP Break Even

According to Canaccord, STP needs Mckay to be producing at ±4800 bpd to break even.

At the current pace, its a long way to 4800.

Lets hope for significant improvement in the June production numbers.  

from february :
"What’s the minimum that STP-McKay needs to produce to cover annual expenses?
Assuming Senlac production averages 4,000 boe/d, we estimate that STP’s heavy oil 
project produces $20-30mm a year in free cash flow based on our 2013 commodity price 
deck and heavy oil differentials of 20-30%. This covers ~45-60% of the company’s annual 
debt obligations and estimated G&A expense. To that end, we estimate that Southern 
Pacific needs McKay to produce at a minimum of 4,800 bbl/d, or 40% of capacity, to fully 
cover the remaining annual debt obligations and G&A expenses.
 
 
 
 
 
Comment by kavephish on Jun 21, 2013 7:32pm
Lutes stated last year as well that the break even point was between 4-5k bbls>
Comment by adamsight on Jun 22, 2013 10:55am
The 5000 bpd is a be for McKay but corporately it is also 5000 bpd with senlac doing 3500 we are close to not loosing money ie no further burn. Look at nut taps fund he bought batted too its the summer and sell in may didn't really happen its happening now. My guess o. The drop at close is a collusion in shorting someone is shorting and someone else is selling at the end of the day. Of course ...more  
Comment by adamsight on Jun 22, 2013 10:59am
Dumb auto correct . Nutal pushed battex look at his funds performance the last 5 years.  
Comment by Pandora on Jun 24, 2013 11:16am
What are the odds this thing can go insolvent and into bankruptcy? Anybody support that or is everybody confident that Byron Lutes can work this out? What's the per share value of their assets? Are we under water at this level? Presumably any funds would go to debt holders anyway.
Comment by Kel2 on Jun 26, 2013 5:36pm
They need a total of about 5,000 BOPD from McKay and Senlac to break even.
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