Post by
farmerman on Jul 21, 2014 11:21am
Cut your losses
Well thats an option, I cant imagine what would shave off the share value now.
My guess is that Senlac and the 444 million of contingent resources (or some of it) not related to mckay will be sold.
if they get the .29 per barrel they garnered before that will be about 128 million and $60 000 per flowing barrel on Senlac for another 120 million. This would enable the infill drilling and pay the line of credit off, but I don't have a cystal ball so who really knows....!
I suspect the review will end when Mckay is at or near Corporate Break Even. If they get 6 icd's installed by mid sept then we could see a closing of the review in Mid November. Then we would see a nice pop in share price. (fingers crossed).
On another note, lay blame where blame is due. I sent a letter to Bollinger about the heads up on the review ending. Having a recording on my phone of "no one gets a heads up" well I had to ask WTF. I wont get into the ethics of all of this just to say I have been a shareholder of this since the land buys. This does not entitle me to anything other than curteous conversation and when I am scolded for asking questions I get a little huffy. So Nike I apologize if I closed your door.
Dave
Comment by
georgxfg on Jul 21, 2014 11:30am
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Comment by
LeGagneur on Jul 21, 2014 12:30pm
ar Corporate Break Even. If they get 6 icd's installed by mid sept then we could see a closing of the review in Mid November. Then we would see a nice pop in share price. (fingers crossed)." And how much is "a nice pop" 1C$?
Comment by
nikehercules on Jul 21, 2014 12:59pm
The rig is on Pad 2. STP has 4 ICD's to install on Pad 2 (2P1 & 2P5 alreadh have ICD's) After a 14 day shut in It takes roughly 10 days to install an ICD. By mid-september STP should hav e a pretty good idea where Pad 2 is ultimately headed. It will take much longer for the ICD's to work on Pad 1 since those wells are badly conformed. I'm not expecting much from Pad 1.
Comment by
oilcansam on Jul 21, 2014 3:52pm
Chances of them installing an ICD on 2P3 should not be an option. At over 500bbl it doesn't need it. 2P6 and 2p2 would be the next candidates. I don't think 2p4 is a consideration at 75bbl. Not worth the million bucks to double it. Has anyone seen May numbers yet?