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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Air Canada T.AC

Alternate Symbol(s):  ACDVF

Air Canada is an airline company. The Company is a provider of scheduled passenger services in the Canadian market, the Canada-United States (U.S.) transborder market and the international market to and from Canada. It provides scheduled service directly to more than 180 airports in Canada, the United States and internationally on six continents. The Company’s Aeroplan program is Canada's... see more

TSX:AC - Post Discussion

Air Canada > How low it is (adjusted) ?
View:
Post by Tempo1 on Jun 25, 2024 6:44pm

How low it is (adjusted) ?

On an individual share basis we are at 30% above the lower 7 years low closing (12,90$). For an investor, this metric is used for calculate its return. 

But in a financial basis, adjustments have to be made for dilution;  there was 263 M shares in 2019 and we are now at 358 M, an 36% increase. So, in 2019, AC was most if the year around 45$ for a market cap of 11,8 B$. At 16,66$ today, the market cap is 5,96 B$  slightly above 50% of the 2019 market cap. 

The 2019 EBITDA was 3,6B$ and the estimated EBITDA for 2024 full year is 3,7- 4,2 B$.  

The 2019 debt leverage was 0,8x and the Q1 2024 one is 0,9x.

Half price for comparables pictures.

It's a rule of thumb method, but sometimes simple rule talks more than elaborated ones.
Comment by DrInvestor on Jun 25, 2024 8:09pm
The point here is that we should be trading between $25-30 right now. 
Comment by thinkyourmoney on Jun 27, 2024 7:00pm
From this article and the "Overly Paralyzed" article, the concepts send my mind spinning with How Stupid a $17 valuation is for AC shares.   CIBC outlines that Air Canada has lots of room to grow into its North American network.  In case you have not noticed our immigrants come here and there is no choice  from their families they left behind.  Our new people ...more  
Comment by Nordico on Jun 28, 2024 3:54am
Good post (much like Temp's). I've doubled my AC position - which I started in Feb - over the past week, and my last lot of 2700 shares I purchased on Tuesday immediately after looking at the month's Short data (almost half of daily volume in June has been short-sales, leading up to this week). The shorts have turned this into a huge reverse-bubble, and I've been happy to load up ...more  
Comment by Tempo1 on Jun 28, 2024 8:10am
Sometimes, the stock market offer no risk (or so little) propositions like this. The only unknown remains the exact moment when it will rise.