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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Aimia Inc T.AIM

Alternate Symbol(s):  T.AIM.PR.A | AIMFF | T.AIM.PR.C | T.AIM.PR.D

Aimia Inc. is a diversified company. The Company operates through three segments: Bozzetto, Cortland International and Holdings. The Bozzetto segment is a provider of specialty sustainable chemicals, offering sustainable textile, water and dispersion chemical solutions with applications in several end-markets including the textile, home and personal care, plasterboard and agrochemical markets... see more

TSX:AIM - Post Discussion

Aimia Inc > $1.60 per share for PLM
View:
Post by nozzpack on Oct 05, 2021 5:49pm

$1.60 per share for PLM

Do the calculations yourself..

As such, Aimia does not expect the long-term profitability of the program to be affected significantly at this time. Consequently, taking into consideration that previous calculations show that the investment's recoverable value is significantly greater than its carrying amount, Aimia did not consider that the current pandemic nor Aeromexico's Chapter 11 proceedings would have eliminated that difference. This conclusion is based mainly on the following analysis and assumptions:
• PLM's carrying amount as of March 31, 2021 is $46.0 million, which is significantly lower than various valuation markers of that investment, including, but not limited to, previous independent appraisals, a previous unsolicited public offer to purchase the program which Aimia refused, as well as a 7 year option to purchase Aimia's 48.9% equity interest in PLM at a price of US$400 million for Aimia's equity interest or at an Adjusted EBITDA multiple of 7.5x, whichever is greater, plus Aimia's pro-rata share of cash held by PLM, net of any third party financial debt;
• While the airline is an important partner of the program, PLM is not an airline operator and does not have a similar fixed cost structure, nor is it solely dependent on Aeromexico to operate at pre-COVID-19 levels to generate positive earnings itself. For the year ended December 31, 2020, PLM reported net earnings of $30.2 million, including $26.1 million in the fourth quarter, and $5.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2021 despite the operations slowdown since the beginning of the pandemic and the expected credit loss recorded in 2020 stated above (refer to Note 6);
• During the three months ended March 31, 2021, the PLM board of directors approved a distribution of US$16.1 million, of which Aimia received its share of $9.8 million (US$7.9 million);
• The current carrying value of PLM represents an implied multiple of 2.8x of 2020 earnings before net financial expense and income tax expense, which is significantly lower than the Adjusted EBITDA multiple stated in the option granted to Aeromexico and comparable company multiples;
• Various operating metrics of Aeromexico have been showing a month over month recovery during the second half of 2020. Q1 2021 operating metrics are also trending above 2020 post-pandemic levels;
• Aimia currently expects that the court supervised financial restructuring will provide the airline additional liquidity and the ability to cut costs during this unprecedented reduction in airline travel, and that Aeromexico
Comment by CornInHerPuss on Oct 05, 2021 11:15pm
Thanks for the elaborate reply... I mean, when you put it that way, I just hope they get 100% of PLM ^^
Comment by nozzpack on Oct 06, 2021 7:41am
Which ever is greater...which is $400 million Otherwise$230 million = $2.30 per share Minumum is $2.30 per share as fundamentals continue to improve..
Comment by CornInHerPuss on Oct 06, 2021 9:09am
Do you think the debtors of AeroMexico would actually pay AIMIA either sum in cash or will they negociate something else? I personally don't see them comming up with such sums after losing on the debt of AeroMexico + they would probably try to reserve their financial ressources for the restructured entity to navigate the current travelling environment.  If they do receive the cash, the ...more  
Comment by nozzpack on Oct 06, 2021 9:27am
A good question that probably makes $400 million unrealistic but not the Ebitda calculation. PLM is making money afterall..
Comment by moneymachine5333 on Oct 06, 2021 10:08am
From the June 29, 2020 new release: Aimia and Aeromexico have also agreed to modify the Shareholders Agreement to grant Aeromexico a 7 year option to purchase Aimia's 48.9% equity interest in PLM at a minimum price of US$400 million for Aimia's equity interest or at an Adjusted EBITDA multiple of 7.5x, whichever is greater, plus Aimia's pro-rata share of cash, net of any third party ...more  
Comment by nozzpack on Oct 06, 2021 1:29pm
Its going to be substantial. The current market is giving it only its carrying value of $46 m cad
Comment by CornInHerPuss on Oct 07, 2021 4:57pm
Lol, who do you call short? I hope not me... I've got a good long position here as I see the value... I've been personally waiting for a buyout for someone looking for the cash + the tax pool... or at least privatization by Middleman.  You can criticize management from time to time and still be long lol... It's just a fact that they could have easily doubled the cash value they ...more