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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Alio Gold Inc. T.ALO

"Alio Gold Inc is a gold mining company. It is engaged in exploration, development and production in Mexico. Its projects include San Francisco mine in Sonora, Mexico and the development stage Ana Paula project in Guerrero, Mexico."

TSX:ALO - Post Discussion

Alio Gold Inc. > Merger makes little sense for Alio shareholders
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Post by zebra2 on Mar 19, 2018 12:14pm

Merger makes little sense for Alio shareholders

The proposed consolidation results in Alio  shareholders giving up 47% of future profits to a firm that has little revenue and brings $29 million in debt to the table. Go figure. If ALIO stock goes up in the short term, it will be because.traders exoect this deal to fall thru. Trully a bizarre financial arrangement.
Comment by 7849362 on Mar 19, 2018 12:50pm
Rye is currently at 5500 oz per month from latest interview. That is not little revenue. https://www.commodity-tv.net/c/mid,38655,PDAC_2018/?v=298229 Revenue does not matter as much as profit margin. Rye AISC is much lower than San Fransisco AISC. You say brings $29 million debt but neglect to say over $20 million cash from recent financing.
Comment by kkkrrr on Mar 19, 2018 12:57pm
5500 oz per month means they are near planned production ...     free cashflow for 2018 is possible here...   i think the market wants to see this CEO is able to deliver... producing cashflow at both mines , construction of the decline at ana Paula + drilling out the property ...  followed by building Ana Paula ...
Comment by 7849362 on Mar 19, 2018 1:24pm
It is not just possible, the PDAC interview said they expected most of the debt to be paid off by the end of 2018 before the merger. The other guy saying Rye brings $29 million in debt is incorrect. That is combined with Alo debt. The Rye debt facility is $25 million. Rye paid down $5 mil of that in Q4. The PDAC interview said they expected to pay $15 mil in 2018, leaving only $5 mil debt at the ...more  
Comment by zebra2 on Mar 19, 2018 1:24pm
I have been looking for the q4 results for Rye Patch to confirm their past revenues . For some reason they are not yet released or, posted on line . From what I can see of their past, they have only just commenced operation at the florida mine, and any existing Rye Patch past revenues are very small .( ie  19 million last 4 published quarters.) ..versus Alio , which  produced.over $100 ...more  
Comment by kkkrrr on Mar 19, 2018 1:36pm
you are wrong.. Rye Patch Florida Mine is in production since Q2 2017 and ramping up sine them... the want to produce 65000-70000 oz p.a. at AISC near 900$ .. means double operation margin as San Francisco at POG 1300$ ...   financially the mergewr makes sense ...     more cashflow from 2 mines means better chances for a debt financing for Ana Paula ...
Comment by 7849362 on Mar 19, 2018 2:18pm
You keep saying Alio has no debt but they do have debt according to their Q4 financial statement: $1.7 mil vendor loan and other liabilities. Who knows what was added in Q1 since they need cash to advance Ana Paula. If you want guidance, watch the PDAC interview. Not official, but still guidance. The reason Alio share price has been dropping is because Alio needs funding to build Ana Paula, and ...more  
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