Post by
Lonegaurdian19 on Jan 12, 2024 10:53pm
Total project cost to first oil?
I'm going to guess $5-10 billion before first oil? Then anywhere from 200-500k barrels per day?
So 450 million to 950 in sunk costs IE the loan? If you assume a $25 net back thats a long time to pay off the loan
Comment by
firstworld on Jan 13, 2024 3:25pm
The only value for AOI is the reserves 400M bbl and whatevers left over after some one takes their stake incl debt. Reservez are $2-20 bbl so worst case assuming 1 B (vs 3-5B early est) recoverable rserves is $200M and best case assumin 4B bbl recoverable is $8B income potential over X years. I can see a NOC or super majot buying them out for 1B within 5 years