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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum ARC Resources Ltd T.ARX

Alternate Symbol(s):  AETUF

ARC Resources Ltd. is a Canadian energy company. It is focused on the exploration, development, and production of unconventional natural gas, condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil in western Canada. Its operations are focused in the Montney region in Alberta and northeast British Columbia. Its operations in Alberta are located near Grande Prairie and the region includes Kakwa... see more

TSX:ARX - Post Discussion

ARC Resources Ltd > What hedging losses do the share Price
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Post by Shaleguy on Oct 31, 2021 11:51am

What hedging losses do the share Price

Energy companies should not only have engineering expertise but also business acumen in terms of macro economics and global supply and demand. In other words to have some idea in terms of probalistically looking at where prices are headed using forward strips and even geopolitical climates. Right now all indicators look towards flat or rising prices in the near to mid term. But wild cards are new strain of COVID, inflation, OPEC cheating, Biden's call for more oil and big banks giving US producers more money. You can bet with bank rates going up the banks want more money there. As someone said, it's a list opportunity cost. Wrong. Share price is usually a function of future cash flow. Using a FCF multiple of 5, our price has a 4 to 5 dollar haircut right No disrespect to Steve W., But even Stevie Wonder could have seen prices rising in late 2020 with increasing demand and the progress of the vaccine. They and the board blew it big time.
Comment by screwubot on Oct 31, 2021 3:28pm
Perhaps EIA should have consulted with Shaleguy and Stevie Wonder when making their forcast in December of 2020 when it forcast 2021 WTI oil prices to average $45.78 and $3.01 for natural gas. I think management did the right thing to mitigate risk with these Hedges especially considering the pending dept load they were about to aquire with the Seven Generations. https://www.marketwatch.com ...more  
Comment by MyHoneyPot on Oct 31, 2021 3:53pm
It one think to make a mistake for 1 or 2 quaters, its another thing to push in out into 2024. This is not hedging strategy, it is really stupidity. Who would push it out so far at the bottom of the cycle, utter stupidity. IMHO
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