Post by
MyHoneyPot on Apr 08, 2022 9:00am
Yesterday AECO over $6 dollars G/J
It seem to me first week in April with a draw of 33 BCF and gas at historical 5 yr lows, than the gas bulls should be charging.
TOU is performing better than ARX in terms of the with a 52 week high of $60.15. Yesterday the high was $60.10 so this is where they are trading.
So with gas prices soaring, and with storage level down 25%, and LNG will be moving gas into European storage as fast as they can, I have never seen more bullish indicators in recent times for the gas market.
Kakwa - Gas Plants
Kakwa is know for it liquids rich production, but there are regions of the play area to the east and south that are a lot more gassy i believe. Shaleguy could add more color to this. With 300-400 Mmcf of processing capacity available, they don't simply have to drill their best liquids wells anymore the gas wells will do quite nicely all on their own.
Share Holders will die if they hold the breath and wait for Attachie to come on, really it is shameful to suggest your best opportunity is two years into the future, and is high speculative whether or not it is really you best opportunity.
Next 6 Months Meaingful Objectives
What is Arx best opportunity for the next six months with high gas and high condensate prices, this is the way it could be framed. Attachie we have been waiting a year for approvals all ready, does anyone have a crystal ball out there that will give us a real start date for the project?
Here is Arc statement in their presentation
ARC’s long-term focus is to reduce downside risk in funds from operations and create certainty in cash flows
My quest regarding that statement is at what cost, you could hedge all your gas at $3 dollars and you oil at $50 dollars and you have no downside risk, ARX has already tried that approached and it has cost the share holder of a Billion dollars a year in FCF, and likely 3 billion in market cap.
Maybe management can get a brain and do a better job.
IMHO
Comment by
Sunsurfer12 on Apr 08, 2022 12:23pm
have you ever called IR to chat with them? Ask them for answers?
Comment by
MyHoneyPot on Apr 08, 2022 12:31pm
IR is run by the same accountant that put in place the worst hedging strategy in industry histroy. A one point the CFO ran everything except operations, what a mess ARC must be in, internally. Bibby the junior account that slashed arc dividend, i have nothing good to say about Bibby and Terry, ARX is a headless horse. IMHO
Comment by
Quintessential1 on Apr 08, 2022 12:35pm
Actually the numbers are as of today. Right now as a matter of fact. Feel free to click and look. I don't have to get too technical to make my point. KISS Keep It Simple Stupid. ARX YTD Tou YTD GLTA
Comment by
MyHoneyPot on Apr 08, 2022 12:43pm
Oh that is interesting, ...... Do the numbers include dividends? Over what period of time are you making the comparision? Or is that to much detail to ask for? IMHO
Comment by
MyHoneyPot on Apr 08, 2022 2:38pm
Capeesh Capeesh Capeesh expect TOU high is 61.39 and they have paid out a lot of dividends. Capeesh
Comment by
Quintessential1 on Apr 08, 2022 4:25pm
But ARX yield is higher! GLTA
Comment by
Cobalt on Apr 10, 2022 8:25pm
Thanks man , was looking around for more NG, think i might will skip this one cheers