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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Athabasca Oil Corp T.ATH

Alternate Symbol(s):  ATHOF

Athabasca Oil Corporation (AOC) is a Canadian energy company with a focused strategy on the development of thermal and light oil assets. AOC’s segments include Light Oil and Thermal Oil. The Thermal Oil segment includes the Company’s assets, liabilities and operating results for the exploration, development and production of bitumen from sand and carbonate rock formations located in the... see more

TSX:ATH - Post Discussion

Athabasca Oil Corp > Oil up $5.00 in two days
View:
Post by MrICE on Mar 05, 2021 8:59am

Oil up $5.00 in two days

"$165 million of unrestricted cash at year-end; Net Debt of $412 million representing 2.5x 2021 forecasted EBITDA (US$55 WTI/US$12.50 WCS heavy differential). The Company has an unhedged EBITDA sensitivity of ~$70 million for a US$5 move in oil price."

My thinking 


165 million cash (AT YEAR END ! ) how much now with much higher last two months?

Oil was $48.52 at year end. Does that mean with oil at $65 now that EBITDA is at least $210 million MORE
Comment by filefish on Mar 05, 2021 9:27am
$70 mil annually = $14 mil higher in 2 months for a $5.00 move in oil
Comment by cahclick on Mar 05, 2021 9:28am
  Probably not that high because part of this years production was hedged BUT fcf growing by the day if oil stays at or above $65 Should make it painless to fill that ICE GO ATH GO  
Comment by MrICE on Mar 05, 2021 9:48am
Market starting to realize the multiples potential with ATH great volume
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