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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Athabasca Oil Corp T.ATH

Alternate Symbol(s):  ATHOF

Energy Oil & Gas E&P
Athabasca Oil Corporation (AOC) is a Canadian energy company with a focused strategy on the development of thermal and light oil assets. AOC’s segments include Light Oil and Thermal Oil. The Thermal Oil segment includes the Company’s assets, liabilities and operating results for the exploration, development and production of bitumen from sand and carbonate rock formations located in the... see more

TSX:ATH - Post Discussion

Athabasca Oil Corp > $57.00 WCS + $17.50 USD Differential = $74.50 + CAD premium
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Post by MLEWICKIMBA on Jun 15, 2023 6:54am

$57.00 WCS + $17.50 USD Differential = $74.50 + CAD premium

of 4% over forcast means equivalent of $77.50 WTI which is $7.50 USD off their taget for cash flow and free cash flow over the 2023-2025 period.  

So it is not that bad at this level for ATH. 

Get the production back online and 39,000 BPD in late Q3 and Q4 and that will make up for the gap.

Stock undervalued based on momentum and balance sheet today.

Have a good rest of June.

ML
Comment by Sugaree on Jun 15, 2023 2:46pm
ML check your messages.
Comment by MLEWICKIMBA on Jun 15, 2023 3:01pm
ATH model of 1.1BLN cash flow over 3 years is as follows: $85WTI - $17 50 WCS Differential = $67.50 USD for WCS and based on a 1.30 USD/CAD exchange rate and not 1.34. So we are not far off at $60.00 WCS.
Athabasca Oil Corp
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