TSX:BDT - Post Discussion
Post by
retiredcf on Nov 13, 2021 2:40pm
TD Report
Bird Construction Inc.
(BDT-T) C$10.55
Q3/21 Results Ahead; Outlook Remains Favourable Event
Bird reported Q3/21 EBITDA that was ahead of consensus. Meanwhile, management's outlook commentary was constructive.
Impact: SLIGHTLY POSITIVE
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Q3/21 adjusted EBITDA was $28.6mm, above consensus of $26.1mm and in line with TD at $28.4mm.
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Adjusted EBITDA margin was 4.6% (-90bps vs. Q3/20's ex-CEWS margin) vs. consensus of 4.1% and TD at 4.5%.
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Revenue was $621.2mm (+80.0% y/y) vs. consensus of $631.4mm and our estimate of $632.5mm.
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CFO (before w/c) was strong at $76.8mm (vs. $31.9mm in Q3/20).
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Backlog was a record $2.83bln (vs. $2.71bln at Q2/21), +4.4% q/q.
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Outlook: Bird noted that market conditions continue to recover, and management is optimistic about the near-to-medium-term growth prospects for the company. The bidding pipeline remains healthy, and the company sees a growing list of opportunities coming to market. Although the company continues to experience some modest delays in project tenders and awards from clients, management expects to return to a greater level of normalcy going forward.
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We have made relatively minor adjustments to our forecast, and, as such, our estimates are little changed. Our target price increases to $12.50 (from $12.00), primarily driven by our lower net debt forecast.
TD Investment Conclusion
We are encouraged by management's indication that projects are returning to pre-pandemic levels. Meanwhile, we remain positive on the company's outlook, supported by the level and composition of Bird's backlog (at a record level), new awards prospects, and margin improvement potential over time (underpinned in part by expected Stuart Olson acquisition cost synergies). We reiterate our BUY rating.
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