Post by
HighOctane89 on Sep 09, 2022 12:10am
It's not Eric .....
I don't get why any selling is immediately blamed on Nuttall when he is one of the few people who specializes in and supports Canadian O&G . Nobody bats 1000 so don't get too high and mighty before the game is over . Any other sector does well , the market cheers but when O&G has a good year , its criminal and the president deputizes a posse to hunt them down .
Nickel and lithium have risen so much that EV's are $6K to $8K more expensive because of battery costs , where's the outrage ? Coal is up 350% as a last choice fuel option without it being called out . If there's a failed wheat crop or a bad coffee bean harvest because of frost and prices spike , well your toast and coffee will just cost more . Its not the farmer or the miner to blame , its supply overwhelmed by demand . O&G has been hamstrung by government regulation designed to disable the domestic industry for years and now are vilified for not building and drilling things they couldn't get a permit for . The double standard is glaring .
In contrast , Elizabeth Truss's first day as UK PM she announced ......
- lifting of the ban on fracking
- the "green" tax on utility bills suspended for 2 years
- encourage additional oil production over the next 2 year
- the UK is open for business and a friendly jurisdiction
Germany has relabeled natural gas as "green" and Europe continues to buy Russian oil . Venezuala needs $60 billion to repair its failing refineries and who do you think is helping Maduro ? Iran .
The world is making moves and executing plans , Canada stands like a deer in the headlights while the movers and shakers eat our lunch . To add insult to injury , the media turns a blind eye to reality and spews left wing propaganda of Iranian oil deals that never happen , increased production that is actually an SPR release distorting an under supplied market or "possible" demand destruction in a full employment economy . The story is always negative and oil is the new villan when it is without question , the most important commodity and an abundant supply should be encouraged , not discouraged .
Right now the market is playing a game of chicken , the fear peddlers against weather and continued demand . An early onset of winter accompanied by a polar vortex or 2 will crystallize this argument real quick .
Comment by
Teddybull13 on Sep 09, 2022 9:30am
Great comments, well written. Thanks
Comment by
dllscwbysfn on Sep 09, 2022 9:46am
I totally agree with everything you wrote. For me the last few years have been difficult as I am to the point that neither the elected nor the media can be trusted.
Comment by
HighOctane89 on Sep 09, 2022 9:59am
Thanks for the kind feedback , I understand peoples frustration but getting mad at Eric is pointless . Nobody held a gun to anyone's head and either forced them to buy or hold , everyone makes mistakes but the smart ones never make the same mistake twice . Cheers
Comment by
KarlMarx1 on Sep 09, 2022 11:25am
Excellent post. Anyone who cant handle the inevitable periods of declines in an obvious up market ought not to be in the game.
Comment by
Cobalt on Sep 09, 2022 11:29am
Obvious up market, really? Oil had a death cross and is in a well defind down trend , ok lol
Comment by
Cobalt on Sep 09, 2022 11:33am
Oh also well below the 200ma , most people call that a bear market , 200 is very close to sloping down now whatever ;P
Comment by
BobbyBoy on Sep 09, 2022 11:41am
Bear market? Maybe you need to scurry back to the IVN board and continues to lose money with Trip-Advisor on thta unmitigated dog.
Comment by
Cobalt on Sep 09, 2022 1:05pm
I like Nat Gas so much better for now they cant play the same games there /shrug
Comment by
Cobalt on Sep 09, 2022 1:11pm
6 months BTE flat BIR 70% next 2.5 months seasonals are so much better for Nat gas , I'll be back ;)
Comment by
riski on Sep 09, 2022 1:27pm
Ok fair enough. Try to stay in front of it though. The seasonal trade on natty disappears surprisingly early, often only just after the cold weather starts. Sell in the anticipation phase if you can when everyone's most excited. Best of luck with your trades and we look forward to welcoming you back!
Comment by
HighOctane89 on Sep 09, 2022 1:32pm
Good points riski , one more thing to remember is all the bank forced hedges expire in less than 4 months now . Once we enter 2023 , BTE's true potential will be unleashed in an undersupplied market , just watch the FCF then . As you stated , BTE has never been a smooth ride but but then the real investors are here for longer term goals .
Comment by
Stockhudson on Sep 09, 2022 10:19pm
I hear you I bought at .33 to average down sold 500 at 9.12 and have 500 more for sale at 10.00 but guess I will have to wait I dont mind waiting almost bought more if it had gone below 6 bucks GLTA ESP THE long haulers