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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Carlisle Goldfields Limited T.CGJ

TSX:CGJ - Post Discussion

Carlisle Goldfields Limited > A perspective on the proposed new warrants
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Post by wrighton on Oct 15, 2015 10:17pm

A perspective on the proposed new warrants

It takes 1/.0942 = 10.62  shares of CGJ to get 1 share of AGI plus 1 warrant. 
The price of a CGJ share closed today at .63, so the value of 10.62 shares = 6.69.
The price of an AGI share today closed at 6.09.
That means the new warrants, to purchase 1 share of AGI at 10, are being valued at .60 each.

Previous warrants, AGI.WT, for purchase of 1 share of AGI at 28.47, and expiring a few months before the new warrants, traded at .20 today, and the share price is a long way from 28.47, so ther appears to me to beat least some optimism regarding AGI's share price.

Assuming a new warrant value of .60 today, a share price of $12 would value a warrant at $2.00, for a profit of $1.40, or 233%.  A share price of $15 would give a profit of 733%.   I suspect many folks would see the new warrants to be a bargain at .60, so the share price for CGJ might rise significantly from .63.  Just an opinion, but fun to think about!
Comment by HillsboroughMan on Oct 16, 2015 12:58am
Looked at their chart and noticed it stayed at $20 for years before everybody was taken to the wood shed. My conclusion--I would gladly take it all in the $10 warrants.
Comment by macjack on Oct 16, 2015 1:01am
Call me crazy but with a strike price of $10.00 three years out, I would expect leverage of at least 3X on the warrants. Leverage is the stock price divided by the warrant price. Using a $6.00 share price at 3X leverage would mean the warrants could be worth $2.00. I don't think it would take much of a move in gold to move the Alamos shares to the exercise price of $10.00. Alamos shares were ...more  
Comment by HillsboroughMan on Oct 16, 2015 1:22am
Exactly
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