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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Cardinal Energy Ltd (Alberta) T.CJ

Alternate Symbol(s):  CRLFF

Cardinal Energy Ltd. is a Canadian oil and natural gas company with operations focused on low decline oil in Western Canada. The Company is engaged in the acquisition, development, optimization and production of crude oil and natural gas in the provinces of Alberta, British Columbia and Saskatchewan. Its operating areas include the Midale, South District, Central District, and North District... see more

TSX:CJ - Post Discussion

Cardinal Energy Ltd (Alberta) > Do beat me up....lol
View:
Post by kavern23 on Nov 13, 2021 6:51pm

Do beat me up....lol

I will get followed and beat up for my comments for sure as that is how stockhouse is....but regardless.....

What made most of you not sell when this hit 5.50? do most of you have shares at a higher price then 5.50?

This is the warning sign and red flag to me:

Average production (boe/d) 20,000 to 20,500
Adjusted funds flow ($ mm) $200 to $210
Total capital expenditures ($ mm) $70 - $80


Spending 80M to produce 20,500 BOE?

Not that impressive when looking back.

CJ was a 18000 BOE ish producer for first half of 2021. I should know lol was I was a shareholder lol. I love CJ by the way but not at this share price even at 80 WTI.

Anyways so CJ was a 18,000 BOE producer and had plans for that range until it bought Venturion which was 2400 BOE.  So 18000 + 2400 = 20400 BOE.

So in 2022 CJ needs to spend 80 M to just maintain 2021 rates??? Cause that is basiscally what they are doing.

I need to see production at 22000 BOE if they are spending 80M on capex.

But ole Eric probably has his fan club pushing CJ 63 cents higher then it should.

Lots of cheap companies out there folks.

If CJ decline rates are so good and they to spend 80 million on drilling to maintain....then perhaps they should stop drilling and buy other companies instead.

Couldnt 2000 barrels the decline rate  for 2022 be bought for 40M or cheaper...just sayin
Comment by kavern23 on Nov 13, 2021 7:07pm
Does anyone know if they have more clearwater land then they show on the presentation? Shows only land for three pads. Basically one pad each with like 4 mutiple leg wells. Each pad so get 500 BOE a year..what Tamarack is getting.  Do they have any more land beyond this is Clearwarer...i dont know...
Comment by GoldenArm on Nov 15, 2021 11:45am
Got some questions for you. 20500 boe/day vs 22000boe/day The difference is $0.69 per barrel $10.69 vs $10.00 in exensive. This is what has your panties in a bunch. 10.69/80 = 13.3% and  10.00/80.00 = 12.5%  Difference of 0.8% exploration cost. Now if they go buy a company how much would that cost in BOE? What are the cheaper companies out there? This one is trading at multiple of less ...more  
Comment by kavern23 on Nov 15, 2021 12:30pm
What are the cheaper companies out there? That partly answers why CJ prob got pushed to 5.50....isn't many "good" companies left Canada in the junior to intermediate space.  CJ has developed a strong Retail following...which means any good news will be priced in. Difference between good company and good and cheap company. CJ is a great company in that it is financialy secure ...more  
Comment by kavern23 on Nov 15, 2021 12:37pm
The retail buying strength of CJ is a very attractive thing.   I likely would be a buyer at 4.30-4.40 without even looking at CJ too much as on a good sentiment day...retail will push CJ up. Prob a great swing trade at 4.30-4.40 the way it looks..... Question is if it fall to that lol.
Comment by SchoolNmoe42 on Nov 15, 2021 2:47pm
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by kavern23 on Nov 15, 2021 10:47pm
Moe...this was a funny post...I do have a great sense of humour. Well done. And I said on other board I was out of oil short HOD as I don't think oil well drop below 80 and stay under 80 for long. Glad oil is up.  I am margined to nuts on stocks that need high oil prices to pop to places I want to go. My bum cheeks would really get slapped if oil tanked right now. As long as the Fed ...more  
Comment by 1970Craig on Nov 17, 2021 8:11pm
Good thing I own some CJ. Or I wouldn't get my fix of most excellent music.   As Wayne and Garth say  " PARTY ON DUDE "     CJ is a good stock.  Said it about WCP.  This pull back in oil of ecen stock price even if it dos go to 430.   It's a sling shot when all numbers haven't changed and in fact every day is another day of ...more  
Comment by raven16 on Nov 15, 2021 6:58pm
Looks To Me That kavern23 Is Shorting Our Stock For Pennies, Not Going To Get Rich That Way.lol
Comment by SchoolNmoe42 on Nov 15, 2021 9:07pm
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by kavern23 on Nov 15, 2021 11:10pm
No Raven, too be honest I would never short CJ because always that remote 5-10% chance CJ get's taken over at 5.25-6 range. And the bigger reason is I am long oil stocks. I think CJ one of the few companies that would accept a take over if the acquiring company had attractive shares. In that price range of 5.25-6 I think it would get done. Enterprise value is fairly decent at 5.50.and the ...more  
Comment by Kontrary on Nov 16, 2021 7:37pm
Depends on the size of the dividend. If they follow through on their plan and get the banks off their backs, they should be spinning out plenty of FCF to cover a modest monthly dividend. Assuming that they do take care of their debt problem, that also frees up additional funds to drill or buy assets.  As I recall, this management team has a past history of growing companies up to about the ...more  
Comment by SchoolNmoe42 on Nov 16, 2021 9:24pm
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
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