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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Cenovus Energy Inc T.CVE

Alternate Symbol(s):  CVE | CVE.WS | T.CVE.WT | T.CVE.PR.A | CNVEF | T.CVE.PR.B | T.CVE.PR.C | T.CVE.PR.E | T.CVE.PR.G

Cenovus Energy Inc. is a Canada-based integrated energy company. The Company has oil and natural gas production operations in Canada and the Asia Pacific region, and upgrading, refining and marketing operations in Canada and the United States. The Company's segments include Upstream, Downstream, and Corporate and Eliminations. Its Upstream segment includes Oil Sands, Conventional, and Offshore.... see more

TSX:CVE - Post Discussion

Cenovus Energy Inc > NEW TMX Tolls Could DOUBLE In 2024 Due To High Capital Cost
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Post by ztransforms173 on Jun 06, 2023 11:47am

NEW TMX Tolls Could DOUBLE In 2024 Due To High Capital Cost

- they are now talking about USD 8 to 10 per barrel tolls compared to the previously anticipated USD 4.50 per barrel when the TMX pipeline was originally estimated to cost under C $ 9 billion

- CVE is the biggest shipper on the NEW TMX pipeline with a booked capacity of 125,000 bbls/d {out of the 590,000 bbls/d capacity INCREASE over the old 300,000 bbls/d Trans Mountain (TM) pipeline}


Canada’s Trans Mountain seeks approval for tolls for expanded oil pipeline

Trans Mountain pipeline under construction

Trans Mountain pipeline construction
The Canadian government-owned Trans Mountain Corp (TMC) has filed a regulatory application for tolls on its 590,000 barrel per day (bpd) pipeline expansion to Canada’s west coast, noting shipping fees would increase if project costs continue to mount.

The Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) will nearly treble the flow of crude from Alberta’s oil sands to Burnaby, British Columbia, but the project has struggled with regulatory delays, environmental opposition and surging costs.

The expansion is expected to cost C$30.9 billion ($23.01 billion), more than four times the original estimate, according to TMC’s most recent update in March, which also said the final bill could rise further.

In an application to the Canadian Energy Regulator (CER) dated June 1, TMC proposed a base toll of C$11-C$12 ($8-$9) a barrel, depending on the type of crude shipped and its final destination. Any shipper committing to a term longer than 15 years or more than 75,000 bpd would receive a discount.

The filing also said the toll is based on the latest project cost estimate, and is not final. It would increase by around C$0.07 a barrel for every extra C$100 million spent finishing the pipeline.29dk2902l

BMO Capital Markets analyst Ben Pham said in a note to clients the TMX tolls compare to a toll of $8-$10 a barrel for Canadian crude to get to the U.S. Gulf Coast, but is still “well above” the initial TMX expected toll of around $4.50 a barrel.

Committed shippers on the pipeline, including Cenovus Energy, Suncor Energy and Canadian Natural Resources Ltd did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

TMC asked the regulator to rule on whether it approves the tolls by Sept. 14 this year.

The expansion is due to be mechanically complete by the end of this year and is expected to start shipping in the first quarter of 2024.

(Reporting by Nia Williams; editing by Barbara Lewis)

https://boereport.com/2023/06/05/canadas-trans-mountain-seeks-approval-for-tolls-for-expanded-oil-pipeline/

z173

Comment by autofocus111 on Jun 06, 2023 5:34pm
No free lunch for CVE and SU. West coast buyers may pay a higher price for the oil than Gulf coast delivery, but this proposed increase in TMX transport fees means less premium than expected will be captured by the producers. Capacity contracts surely had construction cost escalator terms built in so probably no recourse. Fat chance the regulator rejects the higher tolls unless producers can prove ...more  
Comment by JohnSP on Jun 06, 2023 5:42pm
Interesting that ENB is already dropping tolls for it's mainline: https://seekingalpha.com/news/3977381-enbridge-slashes-tolls-for-mainline-system-setting-up-pipeline-price-war
Comment by Quintessential1 on Jun 12, 2023 9:31am
Even at double TMX rates are less than Mainline.  ENB knows this and needs to be competitive. GLTA
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