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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Concordia Healthcare Corp. T.CXR.R

TSX:CXR.R - Post Discussion

Concordia Healthcare Corp. > Jason Donville
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Post by retiredcf on Oct 20, 2015 8:36am

Jason Donville

Here are all the details; second stock in the clip. As can be seen, CXR is also one of the top holdings in his fund. I also included his comments on what has happened recently to the sector. GLTA

Jason Donville, president & CEO, Donville Kent Asset Management

FOCUS: Growth Stocks

MARKET OUTLOOK:

Rather than talk about the general market outlook, I want to address the recent correction in health care stocks. Why have health care stocks sold off so aggressively over the past 60 days in the absence of any meaningful downward earnings revisions? While the industry wrestles with issues ranging from drug pricing to leverage, the sell-off has still been far greater than was warranted by any change in the fundamentals. Our investigations suggest that, as the sector began to correct in mid-summer, three different market participants were hit particular hard and therefore experienced aggressive forced selling. By far the biggest forced seller was retail investors who bought health care stocks on margin. This selling has been massive over the past 45 days and is only now starting to abate. The other two “forced” sellers have been ETF’s and Volatility funds, each of which were forced to liquidate large positions when the sectors momentum profile suddenly changed. These three groups of forced sellers, all of which need to sell quickly, led to an exaggerated correction which has knocked back many health care stocks by more than 50 percent in two months. Given the lack of meaningful earnings revisions throughout this correction, we believe the “real story” behind the correction is more about liquidity and volatility than earnings. If our thesis is correct, then the US health care ETF’s like the IBB will bounce back quickly and smaller names in the sector will follow shortly thereafter. For investors who are long the sector but feeling beaten up, our advice is to hang in there.


https://www.bnn.ca/Video/player.aspx?vid=730295

Fund Profile

Capital Ideas fund

Performance as of:

Fund Index*

1 Month -7.03% -3.7%

1 Year 8.02% -8.38%

3 Year 25.19% 6.29%

**Includes reinvested dividends & is net of all fees

Top 5 holdings and weightings:

Constellation Software: 12.7%

CGI Group: 9.2%

Enghouse: 8.2%

Concordia Healthcare: 6.1%

Open Text: 4.9%


CXR-T 2015-10-19 TOP PICK Jason Donville Trading at 4X earnings and at about 9X his estimated 2016 BV. Yes it is levered, but at 4X earnings and below BV, that issue is baked in. Thinks the stock goes higher or somebody comes running at it. CEO is a good guy that made a mistake with the financing. The sharks are going to come if the stock sits at $43.

Price:
$43.070
Subject:
GROWTH STOCKS
Bias:
UNKNOWN
Owned:
Yes
Comment by RusticHit on Oct 20, 2015 10:18am
I thought CXR would be around 48-50 bucks today after Jasons  Pump and Scaring shorts of Sharks Coming to Buy CXR if it stays here ,,But WTF it is RED ???whats going on  Deal will Closed Tomm. and it is still trading in low 40,ssssss
Comment by puma1 on Oct 20, 2015 10:22am
valient announced they are out of the drug price increase model and expect 2016 hikes to be in the 10% range. pretty quick about face and one would think the change would cut the critics at the knees. nonetheless, it makes for a great trading play in the sector and so........... again we are being tarred with their problems.
Comment by digitel on Oct 20, 2015 10:24am
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by Tobuyornot on Oct 20, 2015 10:40am
VRX taking it on the chin.  That's why. Health stocks are sick, man.
Comment by JustforFun7 on Oct 20, 2015 10:45am
CXR looks like it is egtting swept down  with CRX again...maybe retetes recent lows. JFF7
Comment by digitel on Oct 20, 2015 10:55am
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by healthstock1234 on Oct 20, 2015 11:02am
finally, cxr was down today, not tomorrow
Comment by healthstock1234 on Oct 20, 2015 11:03am
just not forget that the debt is for new body who has others perspectives
Comment by RusticHit on Oct 20, 2015 11:07am
I wish i had sold this Pig and Bought another Pig PHM yestersday,,whata  Fkin crash and Burn 
Comment by healthstock1234 on Oct 20, 2015 11:16am
I am in ,there. PHM is just another story, nothing else. I think it is better with CXR in short time. PHM'analysts has different opinions, target 1.25 or 2.25, big difference.