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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Concordia Healthcare Corp. T.CXR.R

TSX:CXR.R - Post Discussion

Concordia Healthcare Corp. > RBC Valuation for CXRX (USD$)
View:
Post by TechTarget on Nov 03, 2015 1:14am

RBC Valuation for CXRX (USD$)

"We value Concordia shares by averaging the results of our P/E valuation and DCF analysis.
Applying a 10x multiple to our 2017 earnings forecast of $7.48 generates a value of $74.84. The
10x multiple represents a ~10% discount to the group average of ~11x. We believe a discount
relative to the group is appropriate, as the majority of the assets have lost or are nearing the
end of patent protection. Combined with a modest R&D pipeline, organic growth is challenged.
Our DCF value (9.5% WACC and a 0.5% terminal growth rate) equates to $79.65. The average of
our P/E and DCF values is $77.24, hence our $77 price target. There are no further acquisitions
included in our base case. We assume that Photofrin is approved for bile duct cancer in 2018."
Comment by sanspeine on Nov 03, 2015 7:32am
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by Joseph_K on Nov 03, 2015 9:05am
I think RBC's applying a 10% discount to the group average multiple of 11x is fair.  Sure call it 10x earnings if you want.   It is still way below the 22x or so it reached 2 months ago. As they are estimating about $10/sh Canadian earnings for 2017, that has us trading at a 4x 2017 forward earnings multiple.   Where else can you find such a cheap stock? We are also roughly at ...more  
Comment by TechTarget on Nov 03, 2015 2:13pm
This is a revised target AS OF YESTERDAY!  $77 USD = over $100 CDN My stock analysis software has CXR as $143. Bashers of these targets are PAID BLOGGERS but the hedge fund scammers!  Or just dumb shorters who have no idea when the big boys will stop the games!   What I know is games do end...
Comment by adamchess on Nov 03, 2015 2:23pm
If only we could take your targets to the bank. This game is going on way too long. First PHM, then NHC, now CXR. what inning are we in - seems like the 20th?
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