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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Concordia Healthcare Corp. T.CXR.R

TSX:CXR.R - Post Discussion

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Post by fdfd12 on May 17, 2016 9:07am

3 Day Rule

If we have a great day and UP again $3 to $40-$41, then this should be the end of this run.
Usually, 3 good days is MAX for a stock.

We will be too far away from the 13 day and will either need to rest at $40-$41 for about
3 or 4 days, or it will come back to $37-$38.

Also there is resistance at that level since that is where we got stopped a few
weeks ago on the takeout rumours.

I know this is not what you guys wanted to hear.
It also is not what I wanted to write but that is the way
the market is.

PS: If we get to $40-$41 by noon, you may see the drop start to happen then.
Comment by puma1 on May 17, 2016 9:20am
really think it might be altered abit there  - hard to overlay simple rules of thumb over a stock that for non-fundemental reasons was down 21 days of the last 32 trading days. or put another way, we had 9 updays in the last 30 trading days - there is room here so i wouldn't be quite so absolute oh clairvoyant one.
Comment by fdfd12 on May 17, 2016 9:23am
Let's hope so Puma. I have my fingers crossed. Only thing is that a stock won't stay too far away fromt he 13 day. It will stop and wait for the 13 day to catch up to it.
Comment by Silverbull13 on May 17, 2016 9:26am
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by fdfd12 on May 17, 2016 10:20am
NOW we gotta hold $40
Comment by Theodore50 on May 17, 2016 10:25am
Day high so far: $40.40, at $40.28 at 10:23am. CDN dollars. 
Comment by wordless on May 17, 2016 10:28am
Well when you have this many shares short, and on this 3rd day you get disclosure from an astute P/E firm that they've bought up over 5% of the Company, I think the 3 day rule won't hold. I expect shorts to keep covering, there whole short thesis is being proven it's wrong and they need to get out sooner or later.
Comment by springisnear on May 17, 2016 10:39am
agree. current price is way below where this is valued......where this is headed.  
Comment by bullchart on May 17, 2016 10:54am
A good rule of thumb is the 3 day leg but CXR has moved outside this many times. Since jan 28 I have had a 6, 9, 7, 7, 5, 3 day legs with 5-11 dollar moves. So this one could shoot out of the park.  The VRX /CXR has crossed with CXR running 15% higher yesterday and 10% today than VRX. CXR just may top apr 22 high today of 42.24 and a cross of the 200 m/a , with the next one at 46.63 mar 14.  ...more  
Comment by Stockcoach1 on May 17, 2016 10:48am
fdfd; how can you beleive in stuff like that. If that was the case, then how do you explain the many consecutive  5 - 8 day drops when the shorts were in charge. Now the shorts are covering and institutions are buying, so why can't this work in the opposite direction? I'm not saying that it can't happen, but if it was as easy as you lay it out, we'd all be millionaires.
Comment by DeltaVega on May 17, 2016 10:58am
THIS STOCK is on FIRE.  $60.00 CAD is just around the corner.... Slow and Shure.  
Comment by fdfd12 on May 17, 2016 11:08am
SC1, it only happens on the way UP not down. You will see, a bunch of people who bought at $31-$35 now have a profit and will be selling either later today or tomorrow. One day when you have time, plot a 13 day EMA (exponential Moving Avg) on your chart. You will see the following. Imagine there is a RUBBER BAND between the PRICE and the 13 DAY. When the price goes too far away from it, the ...more  
Comment by StevieCohen on May 17, 2016 11:14am
Guys, "I'm fdfd, I'm a skilled trader, i sold at $37 because I'm skilled, this is going down because of the 3 day rule of thumb ( it also applies to drifting down you dumb fuuck). Don't trade this unless you're askilled trader like me."  Bet the girls love you.  You seem like quite the loser.  
Comment by fdfd12 on May 17, 2016 11:23am
No STEVIE, don't say that. Remember I really love your posts. You really crack me up with the language. I am not a trader. I have not sold anything on this run. I am just telling you guys what it will probably do. Remember, a good technical analysis is only right 75% of the time. This may get to $45 before realizing it is too far from the 13 day and then come back to $42. The 3 day rule may ...more  
Comment by StevieCohen on May 17, 2016 11:39am
Good, maybe I'm confusing your posts with PROtrading's...
Comment by WillyWally on May 17, 2016 11:47am
You are talking about the guy who lacks attention in real life so he's spamming the forum with his so called "pro tips" ? Yes, he's quite something isn't he...
Comment by sunshine7 on May 17, 2016 11:26am
FD, I remember this from the last run at year end. There are a lot of traders looking to take their profits after 3 great days of gains. The difference this time is that there are 3x the short interests now compared to then and they will need to cover. Also, there is greater clarity of business fundamentals and the threat of buy out. These should be very supportive to adsorb any trading shares and ...more  
Comment by fdfd12 on May 17, 2016 11:29am
I hope you are right. I really don't mind this going UP everyday.
Comment by puma1 on May 17, 2016 11:29am
already at 98% of the average daily CDN volume and only 2 hours of trading!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Comment by Stockcoach1 on May 17, 2016 12:07pm
Fdfd, I thought you were talking "the rhythm method " now you're talking imaginary rubber bands. Lol I'll see if I can dig up my old post that summarizes my thoughts on this witchcraft. Haha
Comment by fdfd12 on May 18, 2016 6:16am
My post from yesterday for which I got BASHED.
Comment by DeltaVega on May 18, 2016 6:25am
Wow. Nice prediction. But i feel like we will continue our uptrend today. Cheers.
Comment by fdfd12 on May 18, 2016 6:46am
I hope so too. But, I don't think so. (please don't bash LOL)
Comment by bullchart on May 18, 2016 12:28pm
Like was mentioned yesterday, this usually works except for those times there is a reason for an exaggerated move. Then you may have to study Feb 11-25, or Mar 3-14 etc. interesting to see a tight low today. May not get there but would not be surprised to see a 39 + close today. 
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