Post by
visionaryfool on Jul 28, 2016 8:43am
Thoughts on revenue..... since the shorts won't help..
In my numerous and largely unsuccessful attempts at getting the shorts to englighten me on the short thesis, beyond cliche statements like "channel stuffing" "high amounts of debt" "FDA is going to pull Donnatel any day now", I'm trying to reconstruct at least the revenue recognition issues identified by some. Mainly, short thesis claims company is channel stuffing by having a revenue policy which recognizes revenue on shipment and not sale to customer, having a large receivable balance, and having provision that allow distributors to return the product.
So this is my simplifed attempt at looking at and understanding the revenue recognition and provision policies. For all references to accounting policies, I'm referring to the 2015 financial statements.
Revenue - Note 2(q)
Provisions - Note 2(l), Note 3 (i), (ii), (iii), and (iv) under revenue recognition
So in revenue recognition, as the following lines:
"Revenue represents the amounts receivable after the deduction of discounts, harmonized sales tax, value-added tax, other sales taxes, allowances given, provisions for chargebacks, other price adjustments and accruals for estimated future rebates and returns. The methodology and assumptions used to estimate rebates and returns are monitored and adjusted in light of contractual and historical information."
What this means, IMO, is that revenue is NET of all rebates, chargebacks, allowances, etc. So if we go to Q1-2016 statements, the revenue is $228M on page 4. On page 14, Note 9, there is a breakdown of the provisions. The Company had actual total "provision" expense of $50.4M (second chart in Note 9) and it had anticipated actual amount to be $32.7M. The Company had to add an additional $50.4M to the provision expense to bring the provision balance to $32.7M. This mean, if I understand correctly, that the Company would have had to deduct total sales by $50.3M according to their revenue recognition policy. So, revenue could be seen like this:
Gross Revenue: $278M
Less: provisions: $50.3M
Net Revenue: $228M
The otherside of the entry would have to be a mix of A/R contra account and provision account.
Any thoughts?
Comment by
LatticeInExiIe on Jul 28, 2016 9:25am
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by
sunshine7 on Jul 28, 2016 10:38am
after many years managing a company, I can tell you that there was always a focus on a/r as a performance measure. It was always a trailing indicator and positively correlated to previous months sales. Conversely, a few consecutive months of declining sales looked good on a/r measure but there was no celebration. I believe their customers are credit worthy.
Comment by
visionaryfool on Jul 28, 2016 10:44am
From what I can see, as far as they are netting their revenue, there is no overstatement. Their policy seems reasonable to me as I've googled quite a few pharma companies and they all have the similar wording. Revenue is recognized on shippment and they all have provisions for rebates, copayments, etc.